The following is excerpted from the question-and-answer section of the transcript.
(Questions from industry analysts are provided in full, but answers are omitted - download the transcript to see the full question-and-answer session)
Question: Martin Leitgeb - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division - Analyst
: Could I have the first one, please, on NII? And with the prospects of Fed funds rate hike in March in a month's time, I was just wondering if you
could help us understand the phasing of the beneficial impact of the rate hike on your P&L. And I guess, this is really related to 2 sub-topics. One
is the HIBOR transmission. I think historically, there has been a 1 or 2 quarter delay in HIBOR rates picking up.
And secondly, the absence of major structural hedging. How quickly would you expect to see the majority of the benefit of the rate hikes in the
U.S. come through in the P&L? Could we already see a big chunk coming through in the second quarter, so with the July reporting date? And maybe
related to the question, if you could update us on how we hedge notional lease now and what the potential total scope for the hedge notional
lease going forward?
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FEBRUARY 17, 2022 / 8:00AM, STAN.L - Full Year 2021 Standard Chartered PLC Earnings Call
And the second question, I was just wondering in Korea, you made substantial progress with regards to improving returns since the restructuring
started back in -- at the end of 2015. I think at some point, Korea has seen us providing strategic optionality if and when returns improve, which
now appears to have happened. What are your objectives for Korea going forward? How strategic is it to the group? And do you see maybe some
further opportunity arising within Korea with some of the competitors were branching there?
Question: Thomas Andrew John Rayner - Numis Securities Limited, Research Division - Analyst
: I have a couple of questions, please. The first, just on the dividend. I think the final dividend of $0.09 was about $0.05 lower than consensus was
looking for. I'm wondering if that might have something to do with the sort of disappointing share price reaction today. But obviously, there's a
$750 million share buyback announced. I mean, are we looking forward going to be thinking about lower dividend payouts perhaps than we were
offset by higher share buyback? So I guess it comes back to this sort of the mix of this $5 billion return over the next few years. So that's my first
question. I have another on RWA optimization, please. I don't know if you want to take that first.
Question: Thomas Andrew John Rayner - Numis Securities Limited, Research Division - Analyst
: Yes, please. Yes. That's very clear on the dividend. The $22 billion sort of reduction in CCIB, if we go back to sort of November 2015, I think you
flagged back then $40 billion in what was then CIB. And by sort of late 2017, you'd already done about $30 billion of that $40 million in terms of
optimizing, most of which I think was sort of reduced and exited. So obviously, things reversed -- progress-reversed since then, and then I guess a
big part of that was the pandemic. But was there anything else sort of outside of the pandemic which caused that sort of positive momentum to
sort of reverse? And how -- if there was, can we be confident that we're not going to see something else sort of crop up that prevents the $22 billion
optimization that you're now flagging being fully achieved?
Question: Edward Hugo Anson Firth - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Limited, Research Division - Analyst
: I just had 2 questions. One was on costs. I get to what you're saying about the 2% jaws. But if we're looking at 2022 not over-the-top plan of the
whole horizon, I think your 10.7% is about 4% cost growth, which I guess equates to 6% underlying revenue ex rate rises. So if we see that coming
in lower this year, would -- does that 2% jaws thing still hold? Or would we -- do you expect this to come in under the 10.7%? I suppose that would
be my first question. Should I ask my next question as well at the same time?
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FEBRUARY 17, 2022 / 8:00AM, STAN.L - Full Year 2021 Standard Chartered PLC Earnings Call
Question: Edward Hugo Anson Firth - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Limited, Research Division - Analyst
: Yes. And then the next question is, I'm just -- looking at your guidance around the margin, I mean, if I've got my math right, it looks like you're
thinking about a margin of about 145 basis points or something like that in the sort of new world. That looks to be some way below where we were
in 2019. 2019, you were more like 160 basis points. And I know there's been a little bit of a mix shift around unsecured, but that's like a 10% loss of
NII over that period for a given average interest-earning assets. So I'm just trying to think what might have driven that? What might I be missing
in terms of the gap there?
Question: Raul Sinha - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division - Analyst
: I've got 3 follow-ups, please, if that's okay. Two on the same issue, which is just your investment plan on the cost side on Slide 32, where you talked
about the walk out to 2024. The first question really is a simple one. I'm just trying to understand, out of the $1.3 billion of efficiencies that you're
realizing, it seems like a lot is coming from digitalization and tech and change. And then when we look at how much technology investment you're
actually trying to do going forward, actually, technology investment seems like it's quite a small amount. So is it a fair conclusion that you're actually
now reducing your technology spend in terms of investment dollars, given the sort of significant build-out that you put through on the digital
banks in the last few years? That's the first one.
The second one is just related to this investment slide. Obviously, we've made it very clear the plan doesn't just rely on rates going up. But given
the volatility of rate expectations, I think there's going to be a fair degree of pushback on just assuming that the tailwind from interest rates
completely materializes. So I guess the question is if, for whatever reason, the pickup from interest rates is less than you expect in your plan, is there
any flex within the investment spend that would allow management to sort of adjust the returns profile going forward? I mean if that is, perhaps
if you could talk to us about business strategic and other.
And then just last one from my side, just on Hong Kong Wealth Management in Q1. Just given some of the trends on the ground there, are you
seeing any weakness? Are you expecting Wealth to be weak in the first half of the year? And if you can comment on the outlook, that would be
great.
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