NEW YORK (S&P Global Ratings) Oct. 27, 2022--S&P Global Ratings today said that Ford Motor Co.'s (BB+/Positive/B) third-quarter 2022 performance and guidance indicate a gradual recovery in its free operating cash flow (FOCF) through 2023 (following negative cash flow generation in 2018-2021) despite weak macroeconomic conditions. The company remains positioned for an upgrade to an investment-grade rating in 2023 if we believe its pricing power and cost control will support its ability to sustain EBITDA margins of more than 8%. We expect Ford's EBITDA margins (including mobility, restructuring outflows, and standard S&P Global Ratings adjustments) will be about 7.0% in 2022 and exceed 8.0% (above our upside trigger) in 2023 and 2024, which is mostly unchanged from our prior forecast.