The stable outlook on AEP and its subsidiaries reflects the company's improving business risk profile consisting almost entirely of solid regulated utility operations. We expect AEP to generate funds from operations (FFO) to debt of 15%-16% through 2021 after factoring in the impact of U.S. tax reform. We could lower the ratings on AEP and its subsidiaries if the company's financial performance weakens such that FFO to debt is consistently below 14%, or if its business risk increases as a result of ineffective management of regulatory risk or the pursuit of risky unregulated investments. While not likely, we could raise the ratings on AEP and its subsidiaries if the company's financial performance improves, with FFO to debt consistently above 20%