The following is excerpted from the question-and-answer section of the transcript.
(Questions from industry analysts are provided in full, but answers are omitted - download the transcript to see the full question-and-answer session)
Question: Jon Andersen - William Blair Capital Partners - Analyst
: Nate, following on your comments around the focus on the branded business, branded sales, and the mix shift associated with that,
wondering if you could talk a little bit more about how the lawns work that you're doing, the long strategy, which you've talked
about to some extent, fits into that and how that branded focus and some of the changes you're making in the lawns business can
work synergistically?
Question: W. Andrew Carter - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: I wanted to come back to the private label point you made. I know that there was a bifurcation in approaches this year, and you
reiterated the branded solution.
In totality, did that focus, that unique focus, hurt you or your numbers? Or was it ultimately a trade-off that you just -- it was a zero-sum
game and you were indifferent to it and really, the biggest challenge view would be a universal approach of private label that would
impact you?
Hagedorn here. I mean, a couple of ways I would approach that. Number one, I don't feel like we're under private label pressure at
all. I've been running this business for a long time, and I've seen it where there's been much more significant pressure.
REFINITIV STREETEVENTS | www.refinitiv.com | Contact Us
consent of Refinitiv. 'Refinitiv' and the Refinitiv logo are registered trademarks of Refinitiv and its affiliated companies.
Question: W. Andrew Carter - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: I guess to speak to activation, I wanted to back up on a number you gave a while ago, $200 million advertising support. And there's
Question: Joe Altobello - Raymond James - Analyst
: I just want to go back to the outlook for sales for this year and I guess, even further back than that. When we were together in
mid-2024, given -- at the Investor Day, you talked about 3% US consumer sales growth. We're obviously very low single digits this
year, and it sounds like low single digits next year.
So I guess my question is, how do we get back to 3%? Because if I do the math, that would imply 27% would be up, call it, mid-singles.
So is that the mix shift toward branded? Is there a very robust innovation pipeline in '27? But how do we get comfortable with that
ramp in '27, I guess, is what I'm asking.
I back up to this year. I don't really want to share our incentive targets on this call. But put it this way. The incentive doesn't even pay
target if branded both doesn't hit 5%, okay?
Question: Jonathan Matuszewski - Jefferies LLC - Analyst
: My first one was on AI. Nate, you mentioned it a couple of times. There's been a lot of press about you guys seeking to digitize your
library of lawn and garden knowledge.
So maybe just update us on how you're bringing your retail partners into the conversation here. And do you see a scenario where
maybe their e-commerce website search bars or the handheld devices their associates use increasingly lean on SMG's data to
recommend your SKUs over competitors when the consumer is seeking expertise?
Question: Jonathan Matuszewski - Jefferies LLC - Analyst
: Okay. And then just a quick follow-up. Mark, with the commentary about retailers ordering closer to the POS curve and the revenue
shift between the half, just curious if there's any thoughts on the impact to gross margin cadence this year relative to last year, absent
the effect of any Hawthorn divestiture.
And I guess, similarly on SG&A, it sounds like there's more of a regular pulsing of advertising going forward versus in the past. So
just curious how that impacts the cadence for maybe SG&A dollars this year versus last?
Question: Peter Grom - UBS AG - Analyst
: So maybe a similar question just on profit trajectory and maybe just the gross margin guidance of at least 32%. And Jim, I think you
mentioned in your prepared remarks approaching 33%. So can you maybe just walk through the building blocks.
And then I guess I'm curious, just considering the outperformance this year relative to your initial guidance, are you embedding
similar levels of flexibility this year?
Well, I'll just take the beginning. I was under pressure from Scheiwer on what I put in my script. My expectation is higher than that,
okay? And the incentive is based on higher number than that as well. So I think we're trying to under promise here, but I think we
have line of sight to -- and again, to the incentive targets, which are higher than, call it, 33% or whatever it is I said.
REFINITIV STREETEVENTS | www.refinitiv.com | Contact Us
consent of Refinitiv. 'Refinitiv' and the Refinitiv logo are registered trademarks of Refinitiv and its affiliated companies.
Question: Peter Grom - UBS AG - Analyst
: Okay. Awesome. And then I guess, Jim, you touched on putting a multiyear buyback program in front of the Board for implementation
this year. Any details you can share in terms of the size of the buyback, maybe what the impact might look like this year? And I'm
assuming the answer to this is no, but the earnings guidance, that does not include any benefit from any potential buyback, right?
Yeah, that's correct. Look, we have a Board meeting Friday. We've got an hour dedicated to this. I think I've talked to most of the
Board members. So I think there's a high degree of support.
I know Mark is supportive. And we've been working closely with our largest -- the investment banks of our largest banks to make
sure they're comfortable and help us with the math. I think everybody feels like we can make a significant impact over time.
So I don't know. If I was throwing a number out, I would just say -- what would I be looking for the Board over a multiyear? So this is
not with a definition of how many years. But I'd say, $500 million to $1 billion would be what I'm going to be looking for. And I think
Mark is not freaking out when I say it.
REFINITIV STREETEVENTS | www.refinitiv.com | Contact Us
consent of Refinitiv. 'Refinitiv' and the Refinitiv logo are registered trademarks of Refinitiv and its affiliated companies.
|