The following is excerpted from the question-and-answer section of the transcript.
(Questions from industry analysts are provided in full, but answers are omitted - download the transcript to see the full question-and-answer session)
Question: Sanjay Sakhrani - Keefe Bruyette & Woods Inc - Analyst
: Thank you, good morning. Obviously, lots of jitters around some of the cracks that we've seen in subprime auto and just broader
consumer credit trends. Michael, it seems like your metrics don't necessarily suggest a lot of that. And I know you guys have gotten
ahead by containing some of the growth and tightening your underwriting standards, but I'm just curious if you can comment on
that and sort of how you see the path forward, and if you've seen any contagion, so to speak.
Question: Sanjay Sakhrani - Keefe Bruyette & Woods Inc - Analyst
: Thank you. And just a follow-up on the NIM, obviously, Russ, you gave us some sort of expectations on a go-forward basis with the
push and pull of rates going lower. But just [so you know], that target of getting into the upper 3s -- I mean, like, over what timeline,
if you assume the forward curve, do you anticipate getting there?
And then just on that specific point, if we think about the yields component, we've heard about banks kind of reengaging with the
market, I'm just curious if you guys are seeing any impact related to that. Thank you.
Question: Sanjay Sakhrani - Keefe Bruyette & Woods Inc - Analyst
: Thank you, guys.
Question: Robert Wildhack - Bernstein Autonomous LLP - Analyst
: Hey, guys. The past few quarters, you've called out favorable flow to loss trends. I was wondering if you could just give us a quick
update on what you're seeing there most recently. Are they still as favorable as they were earlier in the year?
Question: Robert Wildhack - Bernstein Autonomous LLP - Analyst
: Okay, great. And then if I look back, in the first quarter of 2020, you bought back stock with an 8.5% CET1 ratio that was kind of fully
marked for CECL, obviously, higher than that on a reported basis. I appreciate that's not a perfectly comparable period to the present
and, obviously, it depends on the final rule going forward. But is there any reason you could think of why that wouldn't be like at
least a reasonable benchmark for the potential for capital return going forward here?
Question: Robert Wildhack - Bernstein Autonomous LLP - Analyst
: Okay, thanks.
Question: John Pancari - Evercore Inc - Analyst
: Good morning. Just wanted to -- if I could get a little bit of color around your earning asset expectation, I know you had reiterated
the down 2% this year. And I believe previously, you had indicated on a more normalized basis, which we believe would be more
like 2026 that you could see the average earning assets up low single digits. So implying that inflection into next year, can you just
give us that updated view there in terms of the components? Do you feel confident in that -- in the low single-digit pace that we
could see next year and that inflection?
And then maybe if you could also talk about liquidations that you might be seeing. I know you had indicated that refinancing pressure
has picked up a little bit, although off of a low base. But just driven by some of the larger competitors in the space, I wanted to see
if that's continuing if that poses any risk. Thanks.
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OCTOBER 17, 2025 / 1:00PM, ALLY.N - Q3 2025 Ally Financial Inc Earnings Call
Question: John Pancari - Evercore Inc - Analyst
: Great, okay. Thanks for that, Russ, appreciate it. And then just one follow-up, just around the business base, Michael, I was just
wondering if you can give a little color here. I know you made some real good progress in streamlining the business space.
You talked about mortgage, talked about card exits and really focusing on your core strength in auto and commercial and Corporate
Finance. Over time, do you see any additional modifications to the business base, either expansion into areas that you feel better
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OCTOBER 17, 2025 / 1:00PM, ALLY.N - Q3 2025 Ally Financial Inc Earnings Call
about from a risk-adjusted return basis where you may not have critical mass now? I mean, just as you've had time now to work with
this business mix, how do you view that evolving longer term?
Question: John Pancari - Evercore Inc - Analyst
: Okay, great. Thanks for taking my question.
Question: Jeffrey Adelson - Morgan Stanley - Analyst
: Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. Just to sort of follow back up on the origination strength, this was the
fastest growth you've seen here, I think, in almost four years. You obviously highlighted the record application volumes. But it does
maybe seem like you're improving a little bit more than the application growth, which I think was 11% growth year over year.
So could you just talk about maybe what's driving the strength of application here? Maybe what's giving you some confidence to
lean in a little bit more here, and how you're getting that with even keeping your S-tier at 42% or above where it's been historically.
And I think just also as a part of that lease also looks like it has some strength growing a lot faster than the rest of the loan origination
book, so maybe comment on that. Thanks.
Question: Jeffrey Adelson - Morgan Stanley - Analyst
: Okay, great. Thanks, Russ. And maybe just a follow-up on Sanjay's question around credit performance, at least one of your peers
did see some accelerating DQs this past quarter. And I think there's been some similar commentary around pulling back on standards
and tightening standards over the past few years, which you've talked about, obviously.
I guess, is there anything else you think you're doing different or what others are seeing that you're not at the low end of the spectrum?
And just to maybe follow up on the servicing strategies, could you talk about how that's performing, maybe modification rate, and
what the success rate has been of those coming off modification? Thanks.
Question: Jeffrey Adelson - Morgan Stanley - Analyst
: Really appreciate that. Thanks, Russ.
Question: Moshe Orenbuch - Cowen and Company LLC - Analyst
: Great, thanks. Maybe at the risk of talking again about the competitive environment, you were able to have very, very strong
application volume. Are there things that you'll be doing in the future that would actually help the conversion and closing rates or,
I mean, how do you sort of think about that? Like, is that something that we could look forward to at tail end of this year and into
2026?
Question: Moshe Orenbuch - Cowen and Company LLC - Analyst
: Before you do that, Michael, could I just have one quick follow-up and obviously, let some of that time go? But just from a capital
standpoint, you did the CRT transaction. Should we expect more or less of that, Russ, as we go into 2026, I guess, recognizing that
there's the RWA of the assets that ran off in '25 were higher than the ones probably running into '26?
Question: Moshe Orenbuch - Cowen and Company LLC - Analyst
: Thanks so much.
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