The following is excerpted from the question-and-answer section of the transcript.
(Questions from industry analysts are provided in full, but answers are omitted - download the transcript to see the full question-and-answer session)
Question: Jordan Alliger - Goldman Sachs Group Inc - Analyst
: Hi, afternoon. Thanks for the color on the midpoint. I'm curious on the low-
and the high end of your EPS range. Is it simply a function of where it comes out in that revenue range? Or is there other things that
could help impact where it winds up sitting? Thanks.
Question: Ken Hoexter - Bofa Merrill Lynch Asset Holdings Inc - Analyst
: Hey, good afternoon, and thanks for the details on the cost there. I just want to dig into that a little bit to understand because if I
look at the incremental margin growth of 4% to 6%, yet the incremental operating gains are not keeping pace. So is that because
of the headwinds that you ran through, maybe, John, maybe you can refine that a little bit on the $1 billion cost, the $300 million
headwind on the trade expenses? I just want to maybe parse that out a little bit further.
Question: Bascome Majors - Susquehanna Financial Group LLLP - Analyst
: Thanks for taking our questions here. Raj, you leaned a little further into the data side of the business post the higher Vishal I know
we just started a month ago. I don't know if he's on the call or could talk a little bit high level about strategy, particularly where you're
talking about finding new revenue models to monetize that part of the FedEx story? Or if not him, just a little more thought on where
you're heading in that and how big a business that might be for FedEx going forward? Thank you.
Question: Scott Group - Wolfe Research LLC - Analyst
: Hey, thanks, afternoon. So any color on the magnitude of sequential earnings growth that you'd expect? And then just -- that was
for Q2?
And then just bigger picture. If I think about the last couple of years, we've heard we're reducing costs and growing earnings despite
lower revenue. And then whenever we get the revenue growth the operating leverage is going to be really strong. And now we've
got 5% revenue growth and $1 billion of cost reduction and buyback, but earnings are flat. I guess, why aren't we seeing the better
operating leverage? I get the global headwind, but you're still -- you're growing revenue 5% even with that $1 billion global headwind.
Question: Jonathan Chappell - Evercore Inc - Analyst
: Thank you. Good afternoon. I think we're all trying to get to the same place here. So I'll just lay it on top of Tom and Scott. If this is
all the top-line impact from the global trade $150 million in the first quarter, yes, $850 million for the rest of the year, which is close
to $300 million. So it's almost doubling the impact in fiscal Q3, Q and 4Q.
You have to get to the midpoint or even the low end of the full year revenue guide, the rate of change will have to accelerate from
the 3% in the first quarter and your year-over-year comps and even two-year stock comps are more difficult. So can you just help us
bridge where the revenue acceleration comes from if this announced headwind is intensifying, potentially doubling? Is it all from
price and yield? Are you expecting some significant volume pickup at some point absent the global tariff headwinds in de minimis?
Question: Brandon Oglenski - Barclays Services Corp - Analyst
: Hi, good evening, and thanks for taking my question. Brie, I appreciate all those details. I was wondering if maybe you could walk
through the outlook for domestic volumes on the package side again. And it's no secret that your largest competitor is shrinking
here. So can you talk about maybe the competitive landscape? What's presenting for market share opportunities and pricing? Thank
you.
Question: Richa Harnain - Deutsche Bank AG - Analyst
: Okay, thanks. So regarding the top end of your guidance, you said it's predicated on the continuation of strength in domestic. I guess
this question are. You saw some of the best conditions you said since like COVID period, your pricing was certainly the best, we
believe, volume growth third consecutive quarter of mid-single-digit plus growth in domestic volumes. Broad SMB best momentum
you've seen in while. So maybe you can help us understand what's really driving the share gain what do we need to see to make it
sustainable?
And then regarding the onboarded the business you're onboarding, what does it look like? What's the profitability profile, et cetera?
Thank you.
Question: Ravi Shanker - Morgan Stanley - Analyst
: Okay, thanks, guys. A two-parter, if I may. On the de minimis, kind of what has been the customer reaction to the expiry of the rule,
and do you think that is a new normal going forward?
And also, does it feel like there's been much pull forward in international volumes that may have benefited you in fiscal 1Q? And
kind of what does that kind of normal run rate look like for the next kind of several quarters as well?
Question: Brian Ossenbeck - JPMorgan Chase & Co - Analyst
: Hey, afternoon. Thanks for taking questions. Maybe Brie, just to start off by elaborating a bit more on the peak. It sounds like some
of its visibility to maybe some of these new contracts that are onboarding, some of it is more of a macro. So maybe you can separate
just how much of the peak strength is FedEx related versus what you see in the underlying market? I think that would be helpful.
And also maybe a little bit of context on freight. We didn't get too much color on that, but certainly a tough market and tough
quarter, but it sounds like you expect things to stabilized to improve pretty significantly from here. So I wanted to get some additional
thoughts on what's embedded in that outlook. Thanks.
Question: J. Bruce Chan - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: Yeah. Good afternoon, and thanks for the question. Maybe just one on the broader airfreight market. We've been hearing about
some potential supply constraints as the global fleet sort of ages here. I guess, first, are you seeing signs of that? And then so how
do you think about the flow-through with Tricolor. I imagine you've got some good flexibility to shift volumes sort of between the
purple tails and third-party capacity.
Question: Elliot Alper - Cowen and Company LLC - Analyst
: Hi, thank you. This is Elliot Alper on for Jason Seidl. So in terms of Network 2.0 and heading into peak season, are you planning for
any changes in the process like putting some stations on hold in busier markets as you work through peak. Could that affect any
timing in terms of the cadence of the $1 billion in cost savings or anything to think about there?
Question: David Vernon - Sanford C Bernstein & Co LLC - Analyst
: Hey, good afternoon, and thanks for taking the question. So John, I wanted to kind of come back to this question on operating
leverage and try to help better understand the bridge that you laid out here. When we think about first quarter, is there anything in
Question: Ariel Rosa - Citi Infrastructure Investments LLC - Analyst
: Hi, good afternoon. So just on the revenue growth target, maybe you could help us understand how much of that is coming from
new business wins because I don't think that's been totally clear. So like is there a way to segment how much of the 4% to 6% is
driven -- is organic versus kind of new business wins? Anything you can give us on kind of the margin contribution of that?
And then if I can squeeze one other one in the $600 million of freight spin costs, maybe you could just give a little bit of color on
what that is? Thank you.
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