The following is excerpted from the question-and-answer section of the transcript.
(Questions from industry analysts are provided in full, but answers are omitted - download the transcript to see the full question-and-answer session)
Question: George Staphos - BofA Global Research - Analyst
: Thanks very much. Everyone, good morning. Thank you for the details. I guess the question I have to start is, can you talk a bit about any prebuy
effects you've sort of touched on within Europe, what kind of volume effect might that be that has to reverse itself in the back half of the year or
whenever?
And then overall, can you talk a little bit about some of the work you're doing on TOE, in Toano and elsewhere, and why that supports your overall
Fit to Win goals? So prebuy, and then TOE and what you're seeing in Toano. Thank you.
Question: George Staphos - BofA Global Research - Analyst
: Hey, Gordon. Just quickly, April, you said softened. So are we looking at negative volumes to get to a year-to-date growth rate of 3% from up 4%?
Or just maybe another kind of detail there.
Question: George Staphos - BofA Global Research - Analyst
: Thank you, Gordon. I just mentioned because Toano is one of your better plants over the years, but I'll turn it over. Thanks very much.
Question: Mike Roxland - Truist Securities - Analyst
: Thank you, Gordon, John, and Chris for taking my questions. And congrats on all the progress on the nice quarter. My first question is just on a
follow-up to what George was asking about with respect to volumes. Can you give us a sense, just in terms of the volume progress that you're
seeing by end market, whether it be wine, spirits, beer, NAB, just want to get a sense of the growth or the headwinds that you may be encountering
in some of those end markets? And where do order book stand currently? So any outlook you can share with respect to how early read on May, for
instance?
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Question: Mike Roxland - Truist Securities - Analyst
: That's great, Gordon. Thank you for all the color. And just one quick follow-up. You're looking to streamline your French operations, given the
slowdown in wine. Now is that a structural issue, just related to French wines? Is that a structural issue for all wines? Does it relate to more mainstream
wine brands versus, let's say, premium products in terms of -- when I say premium products, it would be like top regions, top brands. So just wanting
to get a sense of what you're trying to do with your French operations and really what the driver is there in terms of your realignment?
Question: Anojja Shah - UBS - Analyst
: It's Anojja Shah, sitting in for Josh. On slide 8, you mentioned tariffs on aluminum as an opportunity, one of the opportunities of tariffs. Have you
seen signs of this yet with customers, where this could potentially be of benefit, like maybe you're having introductory conversations about
substrates? Or just any color on what you're seeing there and how you think it might benefit you?
Question: Anojja Shah - UBS - Analyst
: Great, thank you. That's very helpful. I'll turn it over.
Question: Anthony Pettinari - Citi - Analyst
: Good morning. In Europe, you have year-over-year headwinds for net price and then operating costs with the curtailments in 1Q. As you envision
the year, can you talk about maybe the cadence of how you'd expect those headwinds to trend and ultimately inflect over the four quarters of the
year?
Question: Anthony Pettinari - Citi - Analyst
: Got it. That's very helpful. And then just a quick follow-up. You talked about tariff impacts and competitive intensity with aluminum, which I guess
is maybe too soon to tell. But in the US, can you talk about how fewer Chinese bottles -- fewer Chinese imports, how you're seeing that impact the
market this year?
Question: Anthony Pettinari - Citi - Analyst
: Got it. And do you think those inventories potentially they run down by the summer? Is it a few months or a few quarters? Or any framing there?
Question: Anthony Pettinari - Citi - Analyst
: Got it. I'll turn it over.
Question: Arun Viswanathan - RBC Capital Markets - Analyst
: Great, thanks for taking my question. So just congrats on the strong progress thus far. I guess maybe you can just review what you're hearing from
some of your customers on the spirits side in North America. I know there's been some volatility there. I guess, globally as well, that would be
helpful. Thanks.
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Question: Arun Viswanathan - RBC Capital Markets - Analyst
: Thanks John. Yeah. And I guess I also had some questions on the raw side. Maybe just give us some thoughts on how you're thinking about your
energy hedges as it relates to natural gas, as well as potentially your sourcing of [coal] and soda ash, if there's anything we need to be mindful of
on that side. Thanks.
Question: Gabe Hajde - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC - Analyst
: Gordon, John, Chris, good morning. Thanks for taking the question.
Question: Gabe Hajde - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC - Analyst
: Well, I joined a moment late, so I apologize if you guys addressed this. I didn't see you call out any sort of curtailments in the Americas. So A, confirm
that; B, I think I heard the word tight-ish across the production system. Is that true across the specific geographies, US, Mexico and Brazil?
And then maybe what are you seeing, I know we're going into the winter months, but any discussion with your customers in terms of kind of
cadence for the back half of the year?
Question: Gabe Hajde - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC - Analyst
: Okay. And then, John, I think you kind of mentioned, and I fully appreciate being cautious and pragmatic here, given the macro. But kind of if we
were to free things today, tracking towards the upper end of the range, based on kind of what you expect through the first half. I also know that
you guys have talked about trying to reduce the volatility in earnings and produce closer to sell, maybe not hang on to as much inventory. I think
I know Gordon, you talked about that.
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