The following is excerpted from the question-and-answer section of the transcript.
(Questions from industry analysts are provided in full, but answers are omitted - download the transcript to see the full question-and-answer session)
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: Awesome. Thank you very much for that. If anybody has any questions, feel free to raise your hand. I'm going to start, Dave, just kind
of on the portfolio. A lot of incremental change really over the last 6 or 7 years, right? And so I guess as you kind of get this HVAC
portfolio in the right shape.
How do you kind of think about, I don't know if you want to say, giving the portfolio room to breathe? Where are your priorities
going to be in 2025 and 2026? And how is that different than what they've been over the last 2 to 3 years?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: And is there still -- obviously, you have some stranded costs from some of the acquisitions. But is there still a kind of core productivity
opportunity that's kind of untapped with the new portfolio?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: On your global commercial HVAC business, obviously, data center has been strong. Aftermarket has been strong. What else is kind
of going on in the global commercial market today? And then as you think about Carrier-specific initiatives, I think you always have
had aspirations to get that kind of market share in global commercial back to maybe where it was a long time ago.
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NOVEMBER 12, 2024 / 5:50PM, CARR.N - Carrier Global Corp at Robert W Baird Global Industrial Conference
What are some of those initiatives that you talked about in terms of like regaining some of that, recapturing some of that market
share within commercial?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: And then where -- when you're talking about -- I mean, is it -- when you think about service, how big is the service business within
the commercial HVAC business today? And I think in the past, you've said double digit forever. Maybe that's the quote?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: Okay, okay.
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: Across portfolio, okay. Maybe just thinking about the residential business, obviously, very topical with the AFFF transition. I guess,
how do you think Carrier is prepared for this transition, shifting from the old refrigerant to the new refrigerant?
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NOVEMBER 12, 2024 / 5:50PM, CARR.N - Carrier Global Corp at Robert W Baird Global Industrial Conference
And maybe you can frame for us how you think this plays out over the next couple of quarters because you have concerns about
prebuy, you have easy comps, you have some of the sales. So how do you think we kind of go through the next couple of quarters
on the AFFF transition?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: Yes. And even on a sell-out basis, I mean, the inventory is going to probably get you through what, the second quarter and then
we're all going to beat it?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: And then is it the same, like, inventory dynamics or is it pretty much...
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: Less than that, okay. Okay. And then maybe just kind of thinking about Viessmann, I know you're not going to give me guidance for
2025 next year. But could you maybe give us a little bit of context around if the market for Viessmann grows X, what should Viessmann
grow? Because I think in your view, you should be growing faster than market. And how would you kind of build those pieces up?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: Okay. That's helpful. And then obviously, there's been a lot of change in the regulatory environment over there. Does that change
the investment case for Viessmann at all?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: Okay, great. Any questions from the audience?
All right. So then just when we think about the Viessmann business model, -- I'm very familiar with the residential HVAC business
here in the US. I'm less familiar with the residential business in Europe. So how is Viessmann different than the other kind of players
that are in the market? Especially, there's been Asian competition and those types of things. So how does Viessmann really differentiate
the offering and why is it so attractive?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: Even with the lower sales base this year, it seems like the cost synergies are on track, and it does seem like you're actually pulling
forward some revenue synergies. So from a bottom line perspective over the next couple of years, Viessmann should be still kind of
in the realm of where you thought it was going to be when you acquired the business, right?
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NOVEMBER 12, 2024 / 5:50PM, CARR.N - Carrier Global Corp at Robert W Baird Global Industrial Conference
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: On the data center business within commercial HVAC, how are you differentiating yourself? Are you -- do you have customer
relationships that are unique to Carrier? Do you have products that are unique to data centers for there? And as you think about
going from the chiller business to maybe doing more inside the data center, is there an opportunity for you to play there as well?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: Okay. And then can you give us some context around how much capacity you guys are adding within the chiller business?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: You're not actually adding square footage, you're just repurposing it. I got you, okay. Any questions?
Unidentified Participant
(microphone inaccessible)
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: And is your footprint, just in general, much different than the overall HVAC industry?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: So if there is sort of tariffs, I mean, everybody will probably use price as a lever or those types of things?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: To offset it, okay. I guess when you think about capital allocation, obviously, a lot of change going on. What are some of the near-term
priorities on the capital allocation side we should think about?
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NOVEMBER 12, 2024 / 5:50PM, CARR.N - Carrier Global Corp at Robert W Baird Global Industrial Conference
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: Okay. And you've talked about the new portfolio really growing 6% to 8% over time. What are the key pieces to that growth when
you look at each of the businesses that you outlined?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: On decarbonization, this has always been kind of a payback industry in terms of replacement, right, especially on light commercial
and the global commercial sides. What has decarbonization or the idea of decarbonization done to those payback periods? Has it
made them a little looser, so the payback period is maybe a little bit more graceful and that's driving demand?
Or do you really need like the incentives and things like that to drive the replacement? Just kind of curious like overall how the
payback periods are kind of changing and the, I guess, the customer view on the payback period in general.
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: Do you think the model for commercial HVAC evolves over time, where somebody like yourself is, I don't know if it's performance
contracting like, but you're starting to deliver a certain set of energy savings to a customer versus just kind of installing a new chiller
kind of servicing? Do you think there's a performance angle to this business that you can capitalize on over time?
Question: Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated - Analyst
: Any questions?
Unidentified Participant
Is there a pickup in kind of the replacement cycle that goes beyond economics of [Carrier] technology and innovation? (microphone
inaccessible)
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