The following is excerpted from the question-and-answer section of the transcript.
(Questions from industry analysts are provided in full, but answers are omitted - download the transcript to see the full question-and-answer session)
Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: <_ALACRA_META_ABSTRACT>My pleasure. Kim, maybe just an obvious place to start would just be talking about the quarter, you reported 1 week, 1.5 weeks ago.
Maybe thinking about the top line first, 1% overall organic, Protein Sciences was down, Spatial was up -- I think Spatial and Diagnostics
was up. And there's a lot of crosswinds going on in life sciences land today. So maybe we can just talk a little bit about that and we
can naturally move our way into GMP, which was a meaningful part of the conversation on the quarter.
Kim Kelderman - Bio-Techne Corp - President - Diagnostics and Genomics
That's correct, Dan. Yes, a quick flyby on the market -- sorry, on the company's results for the first quarter. We had a organic revenue
decline of 1% and that was really based by two larger customers that had ordered GMP proteins in quite high volumes a year earlier,
Q1 and Q2. You might remember that in those quarters, the GMP proteins were growing 60% and 90%, and we were saying, listen,
don't extrapolate that because there's definitely some tailwind there.
These companies had some additional tailwind in that they got fast-track approval from the FDA designation, and with that, could
shorten their clinical studies, and with that, they had enough materials, and therefore, didn't order new materials this quarter. That
gave us a 200 basis points headwind, and therefore, the underlying growth is really low single digits in the 1% range.
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Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: Okay. How has visibility changed over time with the GMP business? You have a greater number of customers, obviously, than you
used to, but there is a concentration at the top. To your point, these were 2 of your largest, if not your largest customers. So how has
visibility changed? And how do you think your forecasting abilities change over time? Do you see this becoming less of a lumpy
business for you?
Kim Kelderman - Bio-Techne Corp - President - Diagnostics and Genomics
Over time, with more customers and also, of course, more customers progressing through the phases and then even more so -- more
important is customers progressing into commercial stages that will -- the law of numbers will, of course, make the ramp more stable
over time. I think the most important part there is going commercial, and we have zero commercial customers currently, five in Phase
III.
But in the early phases, customers typically buy enough material to finish a whole clinical study. So by definition, that becomes very
lumpy. They will not order like every month or every quarter. But once you go commercial, they will have supply agreements, they
typically go for rolling forecasts, and then things become much more manageable.
It might still not be super smooth, but yes, at least you know what's coming from an order perspective. But over time, we saw it in
DRD for many years, it was a very lumpy business and it continued to grow the diagnostic reagents and controls, and it's now also
been much more stable for all of us over the years.
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Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: So Jim, the way that it will work for the next couple of quarters is 200 basis points headwind that we just experienced that steps up
to 400 this quarter and then down to 200 again in the third quarter. Is that based on discrete forecast on that part? How confident
are you in that trajectory there?
James Hippel - Bio-Techne Corp - Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President - Finance
I mean, hopefully, it's a, I'd say, a base case in terms of not getting much worse that because we essentially took most of the revenues
out from those two customers in that view. They really have -- these two specific customers haven't given us any specifics beyond
-- really beyond December in terms of what they'll mean and when they'll need it. Based on the fast-track designation, we're assuming
they're not going to need anything for a while. But if they do order in the second half, there will be some upside to what we talked
about.
Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: Okay. Okay. We may come back to that. There's lots of stuff I want to cover here. Maybe just moving to academic. We've talked a lot
about the sluggish demand that exists in the US. You actually sounded a little bit encouraging on the call. Can you maybe just
elaborate on where things were getting a little better? Does that translate to equipment purchases maybe over the next couple of
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Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: When we were talking earlier in the year, the way in which you were thinking about the situation in the US was very much that it
was the uncertainty around the budget rather than the actual numbers that was causing the biggest problem in the mind of the
academic scientists. Do you still feel like that uncertainty removal will drive better spending? Or is the reality of what the dollars and
cents might be looking more important in your mind over the next, call it, two to three quarters?
James Hippel - Bio-Techne Corp - Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President - Finance
I mean I think the answer is, yes. I think what we've seen in the past three quarters in our academic end market, particularly our
reagents, which kind of show the day-to-day mentality of our customers points to exactly that where in the sense that as the proposals
that were coming out of the two of the houses for a flattish budget year over year became more public and pronounced, we saw
the run rates continually improve towards that flat growth that we saw this most recent quarter.
So said another way, the customers are starting to behave now more like what the expectation is, which is for more of a flat budget
versus two quarters or three quarters ago when the hammer first came down around threats of 40%, 20%, that range of cuts, not so
much with us, but we believe the end markets, we were hearing customers talk about voluntarily slashing their budgets by 15%,
20% in preparation of what was to come. We're not hearing that -- we have not heard that this most recent quarter, and our results
would suggest they're behaving more like how they're expecting more of a flattish budget going forward.
Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: So do you feel comfortable that pharma can continue to be double digit from here?
Kim Kelderman - Bio-Techne Corp - President - Diagnostics and Genomics
Well, pharma won't be, but we will be in pharma.
Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: Okay. Maybe a little bit on spatial. Spatial is a business where there is academic sensitivity, and I think that's impacted you. But
Lunaphore is a clinical translational tool as much as it is a research tool. It doesn't really compete with the 10xes of the world, et
cetera. Can you maybe just talk a little bit about the puts and takes there in terms of drivers versus headwinds? Do you think that,
that business can continue to stay up and grow, maybe accelerate to our point, some of these things are starting to peel off?
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Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: Jim, are you able to separate out ACD growth from Lunaphore growth within the spatial bucket?
James Hippel - Bio-Techne Corp - Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President - Finance
Absolutely.
Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: Okay.
Kim Kelderman - Bio-Techne Corp - President - Diagnostics and Genomics
But I just did.
James Hippel - Bio-Techne Corp - Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President - Finance
But yeah, we actually, I mean --
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Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: And do you think that pull-through when we were talking was in the 40,000, 50,000 per instrument per year. Do you see that as
stable going forward or is there the potential for acceleration just given that it does sound like it has the momentum?
James Hippel - Bio-Techne Corp - Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President - Finance
I think there's definitely potential for acceleration because we haven't even gotten started really with the antibody pull-through yet
in any of our RNA scope, and that's kind of a -- that's a low bar, I think, we put out there. But between the RNA scope pull-through,
Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: It's going to be a double as far as overall revenues for the Lunaphore business?
Kim Kelderman - Bio-Techne Corp - President - Diagnostics and Genomics
It's going to double -- the pull-through per box per year is going to go from, let's say, 45 to 90.
Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: Maybe Simple Western. I do want to make sure that I hit a couple of the important product categories, at least in my mind, anyway.
Simple Western has been this really great business for you. It's been 15% to 20% growth over time, but it's been 20-plus in certain
periods. Probably more than it's been below 15%. Is that still a range that you think is appropriate there? Can you touch on Leo, the
new instruments? And how does what you're doing in cell and gene therapy play into the Simple Western growth rate because my
understanding is that there is some demand coming from those customers for that product?
Kim Kelderman - Bio-Techne Corp - President - Diagnostics and Genomics
Yeah. No, it's very broadly applicable. Of course, Western blot is a process that gets used everywhere. And our simple way of automating
it and then having quantitative results instead of visual results is a huge differentiator. We have very good success with our original
offering. And now we recently added -- three quarters ago, we added a Leo instrument, which is basically more specific, but also 4
times higher throughput, meaning you can run 100 samples instead of 25.
You can run different samples in the same run doing different experiments. So very flexible, high throughput if it comes to the
consumables as well, so definitely a benefit, higher ASP box and has met all our expectations from a launch point of view, if you look
at the quantities of boxes we've placed. And those launch targets were set in more normalized markets. So in a way, this is
outperforming our targets in a subdued market. So we're very optimistic about it.
And yes, of course, people are going to find different applications for it because Western blot was just such a messy process. Now
you can, first of all, automate it; and secondly, you can bring it back in the lab for other applications. And you asked about the cell
and gene therapy applications, the AAV potency, the gene potency application is one that is really driving some of the adoption at
the moment.
Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: Okay. So the take-home message is that your assumption, the 2% to 3% that we might model for the back half, that you don't seem
to be disagreeing with, doesn't require any improvement in the end market conditions, what's in place today can get you there and
so then it's about what kind of improvement we see from here?
James Hippel - Bio-Techne Corp - Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President - Finance
Correct.
Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: So you still see there being a path back to double-digit organic growth for the company?
James Hippel - Bio-Techne Corp - Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President - Finance
Absolutely. Absolutely. I mean that's -- anything short of that, we're not -- then we got to change our strategy.
Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: You did. But when we were talking about it, I certainly wasn't expecting it to all come from a divestiture. So there's not a lot of organic
growth. It's tough to get leverage on 1%, 2% growth. But you are lapping some comp expenses from last year, if I remember correctly.
So why is there not more of an organic op margin expansion opportunity this year?
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Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: Last question in the speed around here. Just to that point and to Kim's point on there, there are things that need to be invested in,
in any one year, especially for a company trying to develop the types of products that you are. When you look at the next 12 to 18
months, do you see your -- do you see the investment levels that will be -- investment and compensation and expense levels that
will be required for the business as on the way down, on the way up or something on par with where we've been?
Kim Kelderman - Bio-Techne Corp - President - Diagnostics and Genomics
I think we are in a healthy investment level. So we're not starving the company at all. I think that one of the things I forgot to mention
earlier, we have accelerated and taken dollars to assign to a relatively new opportunity, at least for the US in organoids. It's right over
alley if it comes to being able to grow cells and to manipulate cells into a certain state. So it's an opportunity that was already, let's
say, five years in the making in Europe, but we're definitely now accelerating in the US as well with these organoids being accepted
for generating data by the FDA. So definitely another opportunity to invest in.
Now I think the moment markets will normalize and our growth would go back into double digits, as we mentioned, you could be
more aggressive on the investment levels. And fortunately, we're in a company that has plenty of ideas or projects that we could
kick off. And we would do so in normalized conditions and always make sure that we end up somewhere around 35% on EBITDA
margin and manage the company around. If we keep the belt somewhat tightened, then we would run to 40% unless we do M&A,
Question: Daniel Arias - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Inc - Analyst
: Okay. It's a good session when your last question involves organoids. So I'm going to leave it there and say thank you both for
attending. Appreciate it.
James Hippel - Bio-Techne Corp - Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President - Finance
Yeah. Thank you, Dan.
Kim Kelderman - Bio-Techne Corp - President - Diagnostics and Genomics
Thank you, Dan.
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