Country Economic Forecasts > Tunisia - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Tunisia

Country Economic Forecasts > Tunisia - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Tunisia
Published Aug 26, 2015
5 pages — Published Aug 26, 2015
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

The terrorist attack on Sousse is having adevastating effect on the tourism industry and has seen a number of hotelsclose. More hotels may follow suitonce the summer holiday season is over. This will have a notable impact onemployment, with tourism contributing over 470,000 jobs directly and indirectly(15% of total employment) in 2014. Tourist arrivals in the first 10 daysof July declined by 58% on the year and were down nearly 75% compared with thesame period in 2010. For 2015 as awhole, tourism revenues could decline by up to 40%. Apart from theagri-processing industry, which has benefited from an excellent olive harvest,the manufacturing sector is experiencing another challenging year, faced with labour unrest, modest demand in the Eurozone and a deterioration inTunisias competitiveness since 2011. Overall, the short-term outlook for growth is verypoor. With GDP growth down to just 0.7% in Q2 (and an average of 1.2% in H1),the government has lowered its growth forecast for2015 to 0.5%, which appears realistic. We forecast expansion of 0.7% this year,before a pick-up to 3.7% in 2016.

  
Source:
Document ID
312455
Country
Format:
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Sections

Title
Tunisia:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Tunisia" Aug 26, 2015. Alacra Store. Nov 04, 2026. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-gt-Tunisia-2111-5371>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2015). Country Economic Forecasts > Tunisia Aug 26, 2015. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Nov 04, 2026 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-gt-Tunisia-2111-5371>
  
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