Country Economic Forecasts > Russia - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Russia

Country Economic Forecasts > Russia - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Russia
Published Oct 12, 2015
10 pages — Published Oct 12, 2015
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

The combination of renewed oil price weakness and turbulent global financial markets in recent months will prolong the recession in Russia. We now expect real GDP to contract by 3.9% in 2015 (down from -3.5% previously). Moreover, we now expect the recession to be extended into 2016, with the economy shrinking a further 0.9%, rather than staging a mild recovery of 0.8% as we had previously anticipated. This comes on the back of a revision to our trajectory for oil prices, which we now see remaining lower for longer. In addition, slumping oil prices have increased the roubles volatility, pushing up inflation and leading to a pause in the central banks easing cycle. As a result, lending conditions in the economy will remain tight, which, along with ongoing sanctions, will continue to depress investment activity and undermine Russias long-term growth prospects.

  
Source:
Document ID
317790
Country
Format:
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Sections

Title
Russia:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Russia" Oct 12, 2015. Alacra Store. Nov 04, 2026. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-gt-Russia-2111-5457>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2015). Country Economic Forecasts > Russia Oct 12, 2015. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Nov 04, 2026 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-gt-Russia-2111-5457>
  
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