Country Economic Forecasts > Georgia - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Georgia

Country Economic Forecasts > Georgia - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Georgia
Published Sep 23, 2015
5 pages — Published Sep 23, 2015
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

GDP growth has slowed sharply from last year, to2.5% in Q2 and 2.8% in H1 (versus 6.2% in H1 2014). The sharp slowdown sincemid-2014 reflects weak investment due to the conflict in Ukraine, slackening ofRussian and EU export markets, depressed transit gas prices and thegovernments reluctance to let the fiscal deficit widen. Infrastructure damagedue to floods in Q2 this year, extensive in Tbilisi, is mostly quicklyreparable and will promote upgrading. Overall, we have lowered our growthforecast for 2015 to 2.2%, before recovery in investment and trade lifts growthto 2.8% in 2016 and some 4-5% in 2017-18. The stronger medium-term growth trendreflects continued progress in improving business conditions and strengtheninginstitutions, which is likely to be maintained even if the government weakened by the slowdown and internal rivalries loses support or is replacedafter the 2016 elections. Reforms and strategic location will attract the FDI neededto maintain growth despite a persistent current account deficit, providedexternal security and domestic political stability are retained.

  
Source:
Document ID
314571
Country
Format:
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Sections

Title
Georgia:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Georgia" Sep 23, 2015. Alacra Store. Nov 04, 2026. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-gt-Georgia-2111-5422>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2015). Country Economic Forecasts > Georgia Sep 23, 2015. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Nov 04, 2026 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-gt-Georgia-2111-5422>
  
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