Country Economic Forecasts > United States - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > United States

Country Economic Forecasts > United States - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > United States
Published Sep 12, 2016
10 pages — Published Sep 12, 2016
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

The US economy continues to display all the symptoms of a dual-track economy: solid consumer spending but cautious business investment and trade.  We believe solid income growth will remain supportive of consumer confidence and outlays while a strong dollar, weak global growth, depressed energy sector activity and rising election uncertainty will constrain business investment and exports.  We maintain our cautious view for real GDP growth in 2016, expecting 1.6%, followed by a modest rebound to 2.3% in 2017. Importantly, weak business investment is expected to constrain capital accumulation and productivity growth over the medium to long run. As a result, we have reduced our estimate of potential output growth over the next decade from 1.8% to 1.6% pa. We believe the Fed will raise interest rates once in 2016 followed by two rate hikes in each of 2017 and 2018, and a terminal 'neutral' rate of around 2.75%.

  
Source:
Document ID
343304
Country
Format:
PDF Adobe Acrobat
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Sections

Title
US:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > United States" Sep 12, 2016. Alacra Store. May 15, 2025. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-United-States-2111-6154>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2016). Country Economic Forecasts > United States Sep 12, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved May 15, 2025 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-United-States-2111-6154>
  
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