Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine

Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine
Published Aug 16, 2016
5 pages — Published Aug 16, 2016
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

Slow economic recovery, with interest rates falling as inflation declines and the budget deficit stays below target, gives the government scope for further structural changes ahead of the 2019 elections. Export-led recovery this year will bring greater UAH stability and some recovery in reserves, with rising FDI ensuring continued financial sector consolidation despite a delay in IMF funding until 2017. Growth will pick up in H2 this year, but the weaker-than-expected H1 (when the economy grew only 0.9% on the year) means that GDP will expand by just 1.1% in 2016 (down from 1.7% in our previous forecast) before accelerating to 2.5% in 2017.While steadily reviving, medium-term growth will remain subdued despite the very steep GDP decline in 2014-15, reflecting productivity constraints from public sector inefficiency, poor infrastructure and low investment. Recovery is built around a trade and diplomatic shift towards the EU, but discontent due to slow progress makes it unclear whether present pro-reform parties can keep power at the next elections.

  
Source:
Document ID
341647
Country
Format:
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Sections

Title
Ukraine:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine" Aug 16, 2016. Alacra Store. May 16, 2025. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Ukraine-2111-6098>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2016). Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine Aug 16, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved May 16, 2025 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Ukraine-2111-6098>
  
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