Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine

Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine
Published Jul 12, 2016
5 pages — Published Jul 12, 2016
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

Reconstituted under presidential ally Volodymyr Groysman, the ruling coalition may be strong enough to survive until scheduled elections in 2019 but its commitment to reform has yet to be established. Economic recovery (with growth exceeding 1.5% this year, reaching 3% in 2018-19) improves conditions for further action against subsidies, waste and corruption, which could revive reformers' popularity while also unblocking IMF support. But it may also weaken incentives for further reform; the timetable for privatisation is still unclear.GDP is recovering despite unresolved conflict in the east, helped by rising sales to the EU (even though effects from the new trade pact are delayed) and containment of conflict within old industrial regions. Recovery will be driven by exports in 2016, with private investment picking up more strongly next year as confidence revives (especially as IMF disbursements may restart soon) and borrowing conditions become easier. While the fiscal balance will worsen this year after one-off UAH gains in 2015, containment of the deficit around 3% of GDP gives scope for increased public investment in reconstruction, while keeping it on a gradual downward path towards 2% of GDP in 2019.

  
Source:
Document ID
339290
Country
Format:
PDF Adobe Acrobat
Buy Now

Sections

Title
Ukraine:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

About the Author


Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine" Jul 12, 2016. Alacra Store. May 17, 2025. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Ukraine-2111-6027>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2016). Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine Jul 12, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved May 17, 2025 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Ukraine-2111-6027>
  
US$ 185.00
$  £  
Have a Question?

Any questions about the report you're considering? Our Customer Service Team can help! Or visit our FAQs.

More Research

Search all our Country Profiles from one place.