Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine

Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine
Published Mar 03, 2016
5 pages — Published Mar 03, 2016
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

The pace of GDP decline slowed to 3.2% on the year in Q4 2015, confirming that the two-year recession is near an end as restoration of internal industrial links and slowly improving EU markets rekindle export growth. But ongoing political uncertainty, which culminated in a full-blown crisis in February, puts at risk the reforms needed to retain essential IMF support and could lead to social unrest in the future. Recovery relies on continued multilateral lending, and growth will be contained to just 1.7% this year and 2.5% in 2017-18 due to very slow reversal of conflict damage and high political risk.The president's and international creditors' strong aversion to snap elections means that the current leadership will probably succeed in forming a new coalition and reshaping the cabinet. But the new coalition will be unstable and the chances of its survival until scheduled polls in 2019 will be low. Erosion of support will make it harder to implement tax reforms in the 2016 budget, while structural reforms remain slow.

  
Source:
Document ID
328113
Country
Format:
PDF Adobe Acrobat
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Sections

Title
Ukraine:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine" Mar 03, 2016. Alacra Store. Nov 03, 2026. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Ukraine-2111-5750>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2016). Country Economic Forecasts > Ukraine Mar 03, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Nov 03, 2026 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Ukraine-2111-5750>
  
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