Country Economic Forecasts > Turkey - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Turkey

Country Economic Forecasts > Turkey - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Turkey
Published Nov 30, 2016
10 pages — Published Nov 30, 2016
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

The economy may have been more severely affected by July's coup attempt than previously expected. Monthly indicators show that the economy likely contracted in Q3, leading us to revise our GDP growth estimates to 2.8% in 2016 and 2.9% in 2017 (down from 3.1% and 3.2% previously).Turkish assets have had a difficult November, with ten-year bond yields rising more than 100bp to 11%, while the lira has lost 10% of its value due to a resurgent dollar following Mr. Trump's victory and also a series of adverse domestic developments. The central bank was forced to act, but a 50bp hike to its main one-week repo rate was insufficient to stem the lira's weakness. And without a clear intention from the CBRT to maintain a tightening cycle over the next few months, the TRY is unlikely to find much respite.

  
Source:
Document ID
350108
Country
Format:
PDF Adobe Acrobat
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Sections

Title
Turkey:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Turkey" Nov 30, 2016. Alacra Store. May 03, 2025. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Turkey-2111-6323>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2016). Country Economic Forecasts > Turkey Nov 30, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved May 03, 2025 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Turkey-2111-6323>
  
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