Country Economic Forecasts > Switzerland - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Switzerland

Country Economic Forecasts > Switzerland - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Switzerland
Published Sep 19, 2016
10 pages — Published Sep 19, 2016
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

The Swiss economy surprised on the upside in Q2, with GDP expanding by 0.6% on the quarter (we had forecast a 0.4% rise). Moreover, the revised national accounts data suggest that the recovery from the 'Franc Shock' of early 2015 has been more pronounced than previously estimated. While the overall state of the Swiss economy looks promising, there are still areas of concern. The recovery since H1 2015 has been driven by relatively few sectors. And while headline growth appeared strong in Q2 2016, it was the result of a boost from stockbuilding and rising government consumption; exports of goods lost some momentum, private consumption stagnated and investment remained fairly sluggish. Looking forward, we expect a more moderate pace of GDP growth in H2 2016. This view is in line with survey indicators that have weakened in recent months.We now forecast GDP growth of 1.6% in 2016 (up from 1.0% last month) and 1.7% in 2017 (up from 1.4%). However, there are serious downside risks to our forecasts. Most importantly, if negotiations with the EU about the implementation of the mass immigration initiative fail, the outlook for the economy will deteriorate considerably.

  
Source:
Document ID
344104
Country
Format:
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Sections

Title
Switzerland:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Switzerland" Sep 19, 2016. Alacra Store. May 15, 2025. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Switzerland-2111-6172>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2016). Country Economic Forecasts > Switzerland Sep 19, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved May 15, 2025 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Switzerland-2111-6172>
  
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