Country Economic Forecasts > Russia - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Russia

Country Economic Forecasts > Russia - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Russia
Published Nov 24, 2015
10 pages — Published Nov 24, 2015
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

There are some signs that the recession in Russia may be close to bottoming out, with supply-side indicators, while still firmly negative, showing smaller falls in Q3. However, we remain very cautious about the short-term outlook.Given the weakness of domestic demand, as flagged up by the dismal retail sales data in October, we expect the economy to contract by 3.8% in 2015. In addition, the renewed downward pressure on global oil prices since mid-2015, falling to just US$45pb in recent days will dampen investment and government expenditure programmes and has also undermined the rouble, which in turn has pushed up inflation and led to a pause in the central banks easing cycle. And a contractionary budget planned for 2016 (to preserve the oil funds) will likely dampen growth. Against this background we forecast the economy will shrink another 0.9% on average in 2016.

  
Source:
Document ID
320967
Country
Format:
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Sections

Title
Russia:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Russia" Nov 24, 2015. Alacra Store. Nov 04, 2026. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Russia-2111-5540>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2015). Country Economic Forecasts > Russia Nov 24, 2015. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Nov 04, 2026 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Russia-2111-5540>
  
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