Country Economic Forecasts > Portugal - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Portugal

Country Economic Forecasts > Portugal - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Portugal
Published Nov 02, 2016
11 pages — Published Nov 02, 2016
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

The activity data paint a somewhat mixed picture on Q3 growth, albeit consistent with our view that the economy probably expanded by a modest 0.3% on the quarter. Strong retail sales growth, up 2.2% q/q, suggests that household consumption made a robust contribution to growth, but falling industrial production, in particular capital goods, and worsening industrial confidence during most of Q3 point to investment possibly disappointing again. On the plus side, survey data suggest the economy started Q4 positively. We maintain our view that the economy will gain some momentum in Q4. Overall, we continue to expect that GDP will grow by 1% this year, followed by 1.2% in 2017.The 2017 budget projects an ambitious 1.6% of GDP fiscal deficit. The budget proposal is not expected to 'reboot' Portugal's sluggish recovery but the commitment to fiscal consolidation could help to reduce the downside risks hanging over the economy.

  
Source:
Document ID
347581
Country
Format:
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Sections

Title
Portugal:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Portugal" Nov 02, 2016. Alacra Store. May 07, 2025. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Portugal-2111-6275>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2016). Country Economic Forecasts > Portugal Nov 02, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved May 07, 2025 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Portugal-2111-6275>
  
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