Country Economic Forecasts > Portugal - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Portugal

Country Economic Forecasts > Portugal - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Portugal
Published Jul 21, 2016
10 pages — Published Jul 21, 2016
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

Mixed Q2 data suggest that GDP growth was sluggish for yet another quarter. In addition, we have slightly downgraded the economic outlook as a consequence of the UKs decision to exit the European Union. GDP growth will not accelerate in H2 to the pace that we previously envisaged. Overall, we estimate that the level of GDP will be around 0.3% points lower at the end of 2017 than in pre-Brexit forecasts, with growth now seen at 1% in 2016 and then 1.2% in 2017.And despite the fact that Q1 data suggest that fiscal consolidation was broadly on track, the combination of anti-austerity measures adopted since then and lower-than-expected GDP growth (the budget is based on GDP growth of 1.8%) could derail budget projections during the remainder of the year. In addition, the recapitalization of the public bank Caixa Geral de Depositos, still to be approved by Brussels, is expected to be plugged by taxpayers.

  
Source:
Document ID
339903
Country
Format:
PDF Adobe Acrobat
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Sections

Title
Portugal:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Portugal" Jul 21, 2016. Alacra Store. May 17, 2025. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Portugal-2111-6045>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2016). Country Economic Forecasts > Portugal Jul 21, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved May 17, 2025 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Portugal-2111-6045>
  
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