Country Economic Forecasts > Kazakhstan - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Kazakhstan

Country Economic Forecasts > Kazakhstan - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Kazakhstan
Published Apr 19, 2016
5 pages — Published Apr 19, 2016
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

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Abstract:

The KZT has continued its steady recovery despite a wobble post-Doha when oil producers failed to reach agreement to freeze oil output. The currency is up some 15% from its record low in January, but is still over 40% below the low point of the previous trading corridor. As a result, inflation rose for a seventh successive month in March to 15.9% and it will edge up a little further in the near term. But a fall towards 7% is seen by end-year as the currency impact drops out of the annual comparison and the KZT stabilises.Economic data remained weak in Q1, due to falling industrial output, notably mining, and weakness in services, depressed by declining domestic demand. GDP is still forecast to contract 1% in 2016, its weakest outturn since 1998, as prices of oil (down 32%) and metals (down 8.5%) decline, key trading partners remain in recession or slow, and oil output declines by 7% (with operations at Kashagan delayed into 2017). GDP is then expected to rise 2% in 2017 due to higher oil output, a pick-up in oil and commodity prices, a more stable KZT and modestly stronger growth in key trading partners.

  
Source:
Document ID
332136
Country
Format:
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Sections

Title
Kazakhstan:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Kazakhstan" Apr 19, 2016. Alacra Store. May 19, 2025. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Kazakhstan-2111-5851>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2016). Country Economic Forecasts > Kazakhstan Apr 19, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved May 19, 2025 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Kazakhstan-2111-5851>
  
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