Country Economic Forecasts > Indonesia - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Indonesia

Country Economic Forecasts > Indonesia - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Indonesia
Published Nov 18, 2016
11 pages — Published Nov 18, 2016
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About This Report

  
Abstract:

Q3 GDP growth came in at 5%, below our forecast. Government consumption contracted, pulling overall growth lower. Lower government spending was also evident in cooling capital investment growth. Given the fiscal consolidation in Q3, we may see some pick-up in government spending in the final quarter of the year, although we do not expect it to offset the sharp decline in Q3. Meanwhile, domestic activity indicators including those on private consumption have been patchy in recent months. Against this backdrop, we do not expect to see a significant pick-up in growth in Q4 and have thus lowered our annual GDP growth forecast for 2016 to 5% from 5.1% previously. Given the lacklustre growth outlook, we now expect the central bank to cut interest rates in Q1 2017.

  
Source:
Document ID
349126
Country
Format:
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Sections

Title
Indonesia:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Indonesia" Nov 18, 2016. Alacra Store. May 03, 2025. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Indonesia-2111-6306>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2016). Country Economic Forecasts > Indonesia Nov 18, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved May 03, 2025 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Indonesia-2111-6306>
  
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