Country Economic Forecasts > Germany - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Germany

Country Economic Forecasts > Germany - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Germany
Published Jun 16, 2016
10 pages — Published Jun 16, 2016
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About This Report

  
Abstract:

As expected, the German economy made a strong start to the year, with GDP rising by 0.7% in Q1, much better than the 0.3% rises in the preceding two quarters. While the economy looks set to lose a bit of momentum in Q2, GDP for the year as a whole is still on track to expand by 1.7% above the economy's potential rate of growth and the consensus forecast.While higher inflation in H2 and beyond will erode household real spending power, growing bottlenecks in the labour market point to an acceleration of wage growth that will help to offset some of this negative influence. In addition, there is scope for households to reduce their savings ratio following the recent pick-up due to the strength of income growth. In addition, there are also signs of a broadening of the recovery. External worries have not stopped equipment investment from rising by almost 3% in Q4 and Q1 combined. And the strength of new financing from non-financial firms points to further strength ahead. As a result, we have raised our investment forecast this year from 2.9% to 3.7%.Overall, we still see the economy expanding by 1.7% in 2016 and 1.9% in 2017, unchanged from a month ago and a touch above the consensus.

  
Source:
Document ID
337062
Country
Format:
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Sections

Title
Germany:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Germany" Jun 16, 2016. Alacra Store. May 17, 2025. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Germany-2111-5974>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2016). Country Economic Forecasts > Germany Jun 16, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved May 17, 2025 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Germany-2111-5974>
  
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