Country Economic Forecasts > Germany - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Germany

Country Economic Forecasts > Germany - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Germany
Published Jan 13, 2016
10 pages — Published Jan 13, 2016
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

Although Germany's relatively strong trade links with emerging markets resulted in the recovery softening in H2 2015, solid domestic fundamentals suggest that growth will pick up quite strongly this year. Latest data indicate that both industrial production and export values are likely to have contracted in Q4 2015. And given the news since the start of this year, the chances of a rapid rebound appear to be receding. As a result, and despite the strength of the business surveys, we have lowered our Q4 GDP growth estimate a touch.With underlying drivers of investment still painting a positive picture we expect the investment recovery to gain a bit of momentum later this year. The wider recovery should also benefit from changes in the inventory cycle. We expect a slower pace of decline in firms' stock levels to boost GDP by 0.1% points a quarter in 2016, after acting as a drag last year.Overall, we have lowered our forecast for 2016 a touch from 2.2% to 2.1%, due mainly to Q3's industrial and export weakness probably lasting a little longer than we had previously assumed. Nonetheless, our forecast remains rather stronger than the consensus expectation and well above the economy's potential growth rate.

  
Source:
Document ID
324483
Country
Format:
PDF Adobe Acrobat
Buy Now

Sections

Title
Germany:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

About the Author


Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Germany" Jan 13, 2016. Alacra Store. Nov 03, 2026. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Germany-2111-5641>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2016). Country Economic Forecasts > Germany Jan 13, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Nov 03, 2026 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Germany-2111-5641>
  
US$ 185.00
$  £  €
Have a Question?

Any questions about the report you're considering? Our Customer Service Team can help! Or visit our FAQs.

More Research

Search all our Country Profiles from one place.