Country Economic Forecasts > Eurozone - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Eurozone

Country Economic Forecasts > Eurozone - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Eurozone
Published Nov 11, 2016
10 pages — Published Nov 11, 2016
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

Economic data over the past month continue to show that, for now at least, the spillover effects of Brexit on the Eurozone economy remain limited, while the initial signs are that Trump's US election victory will not have any major adverse impact on growth either. The Q3 GDP release showed that the economy expanded by 0.3% for a second quarter in a row. While this was below our own forecast of 0.4%, to two decimal places our forecast error was just 0.02pp. Accordingly, the solid Q3 GDP outturn has no new implications for our 2016 growth assessment. So we have made no major changes to our GDP growth forecasts we see growth of 1.4% in 2017 (down from 1.5% previously), only a touch weaker than this year's expected 1.6% outturn. Given this and the likely upside inflation surprise to the ECB's forecasts, we still expect the ECB to announce a tapering of QE after March 2017.

  
Source:
Document ID
348382
Format:
PDF Adobe Acrobat
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Sections

Title
Eurozone:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Eurozone" Nov 11, 2016. Alacra Store. May 05, 2025. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Eurozone-2111-6292>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2016). Country Economic Forecasts > Eurozone Nov 11, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved May 05, 2025 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Eurozone-2111-6292>
  
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