Country Economic Forecasts > Brazil - Oxford Economics Services

Country Economic Forecasts > Brazil

Country Economic Forecasts > Brazil - Oxford Economics Services
Country Economic Forecasts > Brazil
Published Jul 18, 2016
11 pages — Published Jul 18, 2016
Price US$ 185.00  |  Buy this Report Now

About This Report

  
Abstract:

The main changes to the forecast this month relate to monetary policy and the exchange rate. We now believe that the BCB will refrain from cutting interest rates this year as inflation expectations are not yet firmly under control. That said, we forecast an aggressive loosening of monetary policy next year, with the Selic rate expected to end 2017 at 10%, down from 14.25% currently. Meanwhile, the real is now forecast to trade between 3.30 and 3.65 per US$ this year, which should also help to tame inflationary pressures. We think the implications for aggregate demand will be negligible and have therefore maintained our GDP growth forecasts unchanged at -3.4% for 2016 and +0.1% for 2017.

  
Source:
Document ID
339668
Country
Format:
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Sections

Title
Brazil:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic
Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the
main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical
data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- Domestic demand
- Private consumption
- Fixed investment
- Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- Government consumption
- Exports of goods and services
- Imports of goods and services
- Unemployment
- Consumer prices
- Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- Government budget (% of GDP)
- Short-term interest rates (%)
- Long-term interest rates (%)
- Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the
most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the
country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant
to the time period covered. These could include such topics as:
- Contributions to GDP growth
- Monthly industrial output
- Business and consumer confidence
- Unemployment rate
- Retail sales
- Prices and earnings
- Consumption and investment
- Government balance and debt
- GDP and industrial production
- Monetary policy and bond yields
- Background Information on the country
- One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors
that determine the country's current position
- Key Facts on the country
- Map of the country
- Key political facts
- Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980
- Structure of GDP by output - latest year
- Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- Corruption perceptions index- latest year
- Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990
- Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year
- Composition of goods & services exports - latest year

Table Of Contents

Oxford Economics Services—Oxford Economics is a leading economic forecasting consultancy, producing macroeconomic and industry forecasts, analysis and data on 175 countries.

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Cite this Report

  
MLA:
Oxford Economics Services. "Country Economic Forecasts > Brazil" Jul 18, 2016. Alacra Store. May 17, 2025. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Brazil-2111-6038>
  
APA:
Oxford Economics Services. (2016). Country Economic Forecasts > Brazil Jul 18, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved May 17, 2025 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Oxford-Economics-Services/Country-Economic-Forecasts-Brazil-2111-6038>
  
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