Source: African Election Database of the likely political trajectory the country will take over the next decade. Broadly speaking, we anticipate political stability and modestly rising living standards, with very few risks to this outlook, compared with many other countries in the region. ...Such a task would be easy for SWAPO to complete, as a two-thirds majority in the National Assembly is all that is required for unilateral changes to the constitution. Nonetheless, we are not particularly concerned about this, as the country already has a track record of adhering to constitu- tional limits, with former president Sam Nujoma respecting the constitution s requirement to step down in ---- (although admittedly, this followed a change to the constitution that al- lowed him to hold the office of president for three terms, since he was not directly elected for his first term when the country was still transitioning to independence and drafting a constitution). By a range of measures, the populace has fewer reasons than the typical Sub-Saharan African country for dissatisfaction with the government. ...By a range of measures, the populace has fewer reasons than the typical Sub-Saharan African country for dissatisfaction with the government. The Mo Ibrahim index of African governance has put Namibia in sixth place every year since ----, always
...Source: BMI economic growth trajectory, the country will continue to grapple with high levels of unemployment and concerns over general working conditions. These arguably represent the most press- ing political and economic challenges facing the country and have the potential to become a growing source of social tension over the coming years. The behaviour of foreign companies, particularly those within the mining sector, could be one such trigger. Global mining firm Glencore s announced in June that it is cutting --- jobs at its Rosh Pinah zinc and lead mine in order to keep down costs and we believe such issues have the potential to become increasingly politicised, provide a useful source of ammunition for opposition parties. opposition: Fragmented and under-Funded We believe that a comfortable victory SWAPO in November s polls is all but assured, Namibia s opposition parties could win a few seats from the ruling party if they can run a successful cam- paign. ...Lack of funding has been a theme of the election campaign so far, with a number of opposition parties decrying the lack of funding available as a major disadvantage. Long-term political outlook stability Likely to prevail over the coming Decade
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