...Source: BMI, CBI ment we expect fixed investment (-- ) will decline over the Private Consumption Outlook: Areductioninsanctionsbodes The inflationary environment will improve, but persistently oftherialintheblackmarket. Government Spending Outlook: Weforecastsustainedfiscal plans, however, this will be insufficient to prevent sustained deficitsoverthecomingyears. ...Source: BMI, CBI ment we expect fixed investment (-- ) will decline over the Private Consumption Outlook: Areductioninsanctionsbodes The inflationary environment will improve, but persistently oftherialintheblackmarket. Government Spending Outlook: Weforecastsustainedfiscal plans, however, this will be insufficient to prevent sustained deficitsoverthecomingyears. ...Most importantly, years of someofthecountry production in the one-to-two years following a lifting of oil andonlyasmallpick -- Business Monitor International Ltd www.bmiresearch.com
...Iran s hardliners will retain their hold on power over the coming decade, although moderates will continue to push for greater political and social liberalisation. Even if the relatively moderate President Hassan Rouhani wins re-election in ----, the main institutions of power, namely the Supreme Leader, Assembly of Experts, and Revolutionary Guard, will remain under conservative control. ...Iran s hardliners will retain their hold on power over the coming decade, although moderates will continue to push for greater political and social liberalisation. Even if the relatively moderate President Hassan Rouhani wins re-election in ----, the main institutions of power, namely the Supreme Leader, Assembly of Experts, and Revolutionary Guard, will remain under conservative control. Economic necessity dictated a nuclear deal between Iran and the West in ----, but risks to the deal collapsing will rise over the coming years, especially if a hardliner is elected president in ---- or is selected as the next Supreme Leader after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. ...Even if the relatively moderate President Hassan Rouhani wins re-election in ----, the main institutions of power, namely the Supreme Leader, Assembly of Experts, and Revolutionary Guard, will remain under conservative control. Economic necessity dictated a nuclear deal between Iran and the West in ----, but risks to the deal collapsing will rise over the coming years, especially if a hardliner is elected president in ---- or is selected as the next Supreme Leader after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
...Iran s economy will see a substantial uptick in growth over the com- ing years as a result of the removal of sanctions in Q---. Given huge infrastructure deficits, the economy will not undergo a boom, rather a steady acceleration in growth. ...� � � Oil and gas will gain the most attention, but consumer segmentsarealsoverywellplaced. Pent-up demand, a youthful population, a skilled workforce, least the rampant corruption in the country and the years of itfromtrulyboominginthecomingyears. ...
