Guinea-Bissau --.- -- + chad --.- -- - congo (drc) --.- -- + sudan --.- -- = senegal - -- - Regional ave --.- / Global ave --.- / Emerging markets ave--.- Political risk will remain elevated across Francophone West Africa. ...Reform of some kind is, however, inevitable over the longer term. We expect headline economic growth in Cote d Ivoire to remain around the -.---.- level over the medium term due to robust levels of public investment, an improving investment climate and buoyant consumer spending. The country s political situation, however, will remain tense. ...The funds will boost economic activity in the West african economy, though we are maintaining our current forecasts until a timeline is given and projects begin to be implemented. - Business Monitor International Ltd www executive summary political outlook enduring Fragility across Francophone
...BMi ratings � Brief Methodology political ratings The political ratings are an indicator of political stability, seen as a pre-requisite for a stable economy and business environment. The long-term political rating considers more structural elements such as: Is there a functioning democracy? ...Factors in the long-term rating include GDP growth, unemployment, inflation, real interest rates, exchange rates, the fiscal balance, the current account balance and external debt. A number of other structural factors are also thrown into the equation, including dependence on the primary sector, reliance on commodity imports, reliance on a single export sector and central bank independence. The factors included in the short-term rating are a subset of those in the long-term rating. ...While areas such as competitiveness, finance, openness and environment comprise the bulk of the rating, there is also an important feed from the political and economy ratings. The factors considered include: the state of the national infrastructure, the education system, cronyism/ corruption, red tape, the legal framework, property rights, market access and the corporate tax regime.
...
