- Business Monitor International Ltd www poLiticaL risK political stability Mitigates risk cuba s political climate is hostile to views that diverge from the tenets of the Partido comunista de cuba, with arrests of political op- ponents a regular occurrence. However, the country scores highly in our short-term Political risk ratings due to political continuity. ...cuba ranks first out of the -- countries in the Caribbean in our Short-Term Political risk ratings. BMi risk ratings � cuba Latest rating previous rating region ave Global Mkts ave s-t Political --.- --.- --.- --.- l-t Political --.- --.- --.- --.- s-t economy --.- --.- --.- --.- l-t economy --.- --.- --.- --.- business environment --.- --.- --.- --.- composite --.- --.- --.- --.- - Business Monitor International Ltd www BMI Ratings poLiticaL risK political risks to remain Low we give the dominican republic a score of --.- out of --- in our Short-Term Political Risk Ratings, ranking it fifth in the Caribbean region. President danilo medina has remained popular despite a series of austerity measures implemented last year aimed at reducing the budget deficit, and no major social protests have taken place. ...BMi risk ratings � Dominican republic Latest rating previous rating region ave Global Mkts ave s-t Political --.- --.- --.- --.- l-t Political --.- --.- --.- --.- s-t economy --.- --.- --.- --.- l-t economy --.- --.- --.- --.- business environment --.- --.- --.- --.- composite --.- --.- --.- --.- - Business Monitor International Ltd www cuBa, DoMinican repuBLic & puerto rico Q- ---- poLiticaL risK
...High risk of Debt restructuring By electric power authority there is a high risk that Puerto rico s state-owned electric power authority will restructure its debt in Q---. regardless of the outcome, we expect payments on the commonwealth s general obligation municipal bonds to continue to be made at least through fy---- given budget appropriations that provide enough liquidity to meet payments on those bonds. ...In addition, weak fixed investment will further weigh on the long-term growth prospects of the economy. table: Puerto rico � lonG-term macroeconomic forecasts -- chapter -: BMi Global assumptions -- Global outlook -- us revision Drags Down table: Global -- cuba, dominican rePublic & Puerto rico Q- ---- -- table: develoPed states, real GdP GrowtH, -- table: bmi versus bloomberG consensus real GdP GrowtH forecasts, -- table: emerGinG markets, real GdP GrowtH, -- - Business Monitor International Ltd www cuBa, DoMinican repuBLic & puerto rico Q- ---- BMi ratings � Brief Methodology composite rating The composite rating is an unweighted geometric mean of the short-term political and short-term economy ratings, allowing a ranking of all countries in BMI s emerging markets universe. political ratings The political ratings are an indicator of political stability, seen as a pre-requisite for a stable economy and business environment. ...While areas such as competitiveness, finance, openness and environment comprise the bulk of the rating, there is also an important feed from the political and economy ratings. The factors considered include: the state of the national infrastructure, the education system, cronyism/ corruption, red tape, the legal framework, property rights, market access and the corporate tax regime.
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