Restrained revenue growth and high government spending will cause Cameroon s fiscal balance to deteriorate over the coming years. We expect the country s budget deficit to widen from -.- of GDP in ---- to -.- in ----. ...A weak business environment and poor governance have long held down growth, however, and we expect them to continue to constrain economic expansion over the decade to come. table: lonG-terM MacroeconoMic forecasts -- - Business Monitor International Ltd www cameroon Q- ---- chapter -: Business environment -- sWot analysis -- BMi Business environment risk ratings -- Business environment outlook -- institutions -- table: bMi business and oPeration risK ratinGs -- table: bMi leGal fraMeworK ratinG -- infrastructure -- table: bMi business and oPeration risK ratinGs -- table: bMi leGal fraMeworK ratinG -- Market orientation -- table: trade and investMent ratinGs -- table: toP eXPort destinations, ---------, usdMn -- operational risk -- chapter -: BMi Global assumptions -- Global outlook -- Growth increasingly polarised table: Global -- table: develoPed states, real GdP GrowtH, -- table: bMi versus blooMberG consensus real GdP GrowtH forecasts, -- table: eMerGinG MarKets, real GdP GrowtH, -- core Views < ALACRA META ABSTRACT>Cameroon s President Paul Biya is the world s longest-serving national leader, and his time in office will almost certainly come to a close within the next decade. We provide an analysis of how a post-Biya transition might unfold, arguing that an internal power struggle within the ruling party would be likely. ...- Business Monitor International Ltd www executive summary
...Cameroon s President Paul Biya is the world s longest-serving national leader, and his time in office will almost certainly come to a close within the next decade. We provide an analysis of how a post-Biya transition might unfold, arguing that an internal power struggle within the ruling party would be likely. President Paul Biya has dominated Cameroonian politics since ----, but on April - the octogenarian leader briefly disappeared from the public eye for two weeks, sparking concern among politics watchers in the country. President Biya had left Cam- eroon on March --, flying to Brussels for an African-European summit held on April - and -. While his large retinue returned to Cameroon following the meeting, the president and his wife did not. Government spokespeople declined to provide any information on the president s whereabouts over the period, an absence that was quickly noted by the Cameroonian media. ...The confusion and surprise that followed the president s ab- sence � and the government s inability to explain the situation � provides a pertinent example of the degree to which politics in Cameroon is highly dependent on President Biya personally.
...Ongoing issues President Biya (b. ----) does not have a clear successor, and an eventual political transition could pose a threat to policy continuity. Food prices and corruption in the public service are controversial issues. ...
