The stable outlook on The Travelers Cos. Inc. and its operating subsidiaries (collectively, Travelers) reflects the group's extremely strong competitive position and capital adequacy, and its strong operating earnings. S&P Global Ratings expects the group's operating performance to remain consistent with historical profitability and our base-case projections. We also expect Travelers to maintain favorable operating performance relative to peers, reflecting its track record of disciplined underwriting and reserving. We could lower the ratings if: Capital adequacy weakens sustainably below our 'AAA' confidence level; The group cannot maintain its historical levels of strong underwriting profitability; or Travelers' competitive position materially erodes. We are unlikely to raise our ratings in the next 24 months. An upgrade is constrained by our intermediate insurance