...PJM announced the base residual auction results for delivery year 2022/2023 on June 2, 2021. Prices across the board fell significantly, with EMAAC clearing at $97.86/MW day (MWd), or 41% lower than the last auction clearing price of $165.73/MWd. PJM said several factors contributed to the decline, including a lower load forecast and reserve requirement, 19% decline in the net value of cost on new entry, higher nameplate capability of solar and wind resources that cleared the auction, participation of new generation assets (including up-rates), and lower offer prices from the supply resources that participated in the auction. The next capacity auction, which will procure supply for delivery year 2023/2024, is in December. We forecast EMAAC clearing prices of $140/MWd for delivery years 2023/2024 and 2024/2025. Beyond that, we forecast an EMAAC clearing price of $145/MWd, escalated at 2% thereafter (see "Unregulated Power: S&P Global Ratings Updates Its Capacity Price Assumptions," published...