Following the 2022/2023 PJM Capacity Auction, we now expect Lightstone HoldCo LLC will have a higher debt balance at maturity and consequently lower debt service coverage ratios (DSCRs) from 2024 through 2030. We lowered the rating on Lightstone's senior secured debt to 'B-' from 'B+'. Our recovery rating on this debt remains '3 (55% rounded estimate). The negative outlook reflects the possibility that we could lower the rating on Lightstone in the near term if we believe its capital structure is unsustainable. This would likely occur if the project does not sweep cash on the term loan in 2021 and we continue to see tepid recovery of weak market conditions that leads to debt outstanding at maturity greater than $1.48