...- Notwithstanding the anticipated overall margin improvement in 2023 versus 2022, we forecast HSE Finance's credit metrics will remain weaker for longer than we had previously expected, with S&P Global Ratings-adjusted leverage above 6.0x in 2023 after a peak of 9.4x in 2022, higher than our September 2022 anticipation of 6.6x. - Adding to this, cash flows generated in Russia should contribute only marginally to the group's debt-servicing, in a context where German, Austrian, and Swiss (DACH) operations are still expected to face a difficult market environment in 2023. - Consequently, we lowered our long-term ratings on HSE and its senior secured notes to 'B-' from 'B'. - The stable outlook reflects our view that HSE's leverage will recover to about 6.0x-6.5x in 2023 and 5.5x-6.0x in 2024 including Russia, and 7.0x-7.5x in 2023 and 6.5x-7.0x in 2024 without Russia, supported by a recovery in EBITDA margin to 14.0%-16.0% in 2023-2024 from the 9.8% reported in 2022, while free operating cash...