Weak metallurgical (met) coal prices will erode the profitability, cash flow, and liquidity of Coronado Global Resources Inc. Compounding the impact will be the company's high cost base, concessional pricing in its Stanwell coal supply agreement, and elevated capital expenditure (capex). We forecast negative EBITDA for fiscal 2025 in the absence of a sustainable recovery in met coal prices. Liquidity could potentially be less than the minimum US$200 million level we expect the company to operate with. We lowered our long-term issuer credit rating on Coronado to 'B' from 'B+'. At the same time, we lowered our long-term issue rating on the company's senior secured debt to 'B+' from 'BB-'. The recovery rating on the senior secured debt is '2'