The stable outlook is based on our expectation that the group will take advantage of a recovery in the Spanish economy, partly offset by challenges in its Latin American operations. That said, the group's strong diversification by country and business lines will likely diminish the negative impact, supporting its leading position in its main markets. We also expect that the group will keep its capital position comfortably at the 'A' level, according to our capital model, backed by sound earnings and supporting Mapfre's growth and dividend targets. We could downgrade the group over the next 24 months if: Capitalization declined sustainably below our threshold for the 'A' level, based on our capital model. This could result from severe combined global