U.S.-based payment solution and marketing services provider Harland Clarke Holdings Corp. (HCHC) underperformed our expectations in 2018 due to a double-digit EBTIDA decline in its Valassis' shared mail business. As a result, the company faces elevated refinancing risks in 2020 because $275 million of senior secured notes are due March 2020 and the maturity on the $1.664 (outstanding) billion senior secured term loan springs forward to November 2020 if its $708.5 million 9.25% senior unsecured notes are still outstanding at that time. Leverage increased to 6.3x in 2018 from 5.6x in 2017, and we expect it will remain above 6x in 2019. We are lowering our issuer credit rating on Harland to 'B-' from 'B'. The outlook is stable. We