The stable outlook reflects our view that the club will retain its pre-eminent position in the P&I and marine sectors and maintain capital above our 'AAA' category over the next two years. We do not expect to lower the ratings in the next two years. However, we could do so if the group's risk-based capital adequacy falls consistently below our 'AAA' levels, or if operating performance materially deteriorates below our expectations during the next two years. This could result from Gard suffering substantial investment losses outside its risk tolerance. We do not anticipate raising the ratings during the next two years. Gard already enjoys an extremely strong financial risk profile, our highest assessment, and a stronger business risk profile would