...September 14, 2020 SAN FRANCISCO (S&P Global Ratings) Sept. 14, 2020--The Wall Street Journal reported yesterday that Redwood City, Calif.-based enterprise software provider Oracle Corp. (A/Negative/--) has won the bidding for video-sharing app TikTok's U.S. operations, but that the deal is not likely to be structured as an outright sale. If the reporting is accurate, the transaction could result in downgrade for Oracle. In our report on the company published June 19, we said that we could downgrade Oracle if its leverage exceeds 2.5x. We estimate Oracle's S&P Global Ratings adjusted net leverage as of Aug. 31 at 1.8x; a change in net debt of $13 billion would cause the company to reach our threshold assuming no EBITDA contribution from TikTok. Bloomberg reported that early offers had reached $25 billion, but that was before Chinese officials weighed in with new rules imposing limits on technology exports. A deal in which Oracle is a technology partner rather than a full owner could lower...