...October 18, 2023 This report does not constitute a rating action. PARIS (S&P Global Ratings) Oct. 18, 2023--The weak performance of Koninklijke FrieslandCampina's (Royal FrieslandCampina or RFC) in the first half of 2023 under difficult market conditions, along with its announced restructuring, significantly reduces its rating headroom. We now forecast the company will achieve S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA of 5.5x-6.0x and funds from operations (FFO) to debt of 14%-16% in 2023, which is weaker than in our previous base case published in May 2023 (3.5x-3.6x and 20%-25%, respectively). We forecast that a normalizing dairy market and the positive impact from the restructuring will support credit metrics improving in 2024 such that RFC's adjusted debt to EBITDA returns to 3.5x-4.0x and its FFO to debt to 19%-22%. RFC's operational performance in the food and beverage division was under pressure in the first half of 2023 because of lower volumes sold to consumers looking for affordable...