...January 26, 2025 HONG KONG (S&P Global Ratings) Jan. 27, 2025--Haitong Securities Co. Ltd.'s coming profit hit is likely part of a strategy to clean up its balance sheet before the proposed merger with Guotai Junan Securities Co. Ltd. In our view, this exercise will lay a good foundation for the creditworthiness of the merged group. Haitong released a profit warning on Jan. 24, 2025, indicating the Shanghai-based securities firm made a loss of about Chinese renminbi (RMB) 2.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024. This comes after losses in the third quarter that we estimate at RMB1.6 billion. In our view, Haitong is likely writing off chunks of its legacy portfolio in Hong Kong, which has been dragged down by China's property market turmoil. By taking more pain up front, Haitong would enter into the proposed merger with less baggage. We rate Haitong (###/Developing/A-2) one notch lower than Guotai Junan (###+/Stable/A-2). The transaction could close over the next six months....