S&P Global Ratings' stable outlook on BCEE mirrors that on Luxembourg (AAA/Stable/A-1+). This reflects BCEE's status as a GRE and our expectation that the bank will keep its integral link with, and very important role for, Luxembourg's government over our rating horizon. We would lower the long-term rating on BCEE to 'AA' if we lowered the long-term rating on Luxembourg to 'AA+'. We might also consider a negative rating action if the relationship between BCEE and Luxembourg were to change, for example if state ownership reduced substantially, or if the bank's poor performance revealed distant and passive monitoring from its owner. Everything else being equal, if we revised downward our assessment of BCEE's group SACP, even by several notches, it