We consider that ANZ's creditworthiness benefits from a highly likelihood that the Australian government will provide timely financial support to the bank, if needed. The outlook on ANZ is stable. We see limited downside to economic risks facing Australian banks in the next two years, including when stronger credit and house price growth resumes on the back of resurgent immigration and limited housing supply. We forecast ANZ's credit losses will remain low and close to pre-pandemic levels at about 15 basis points of customer loans. Consequently, we expect ANZ's earnings to remain sound, supported by rising interest rates. The bank is likely to maintain a strong risk-adjusted capital (RAC) ratio between 10.8% and 11.3%. We see an upside to our