Report title: Value Clothing in European Retail
from Verdict Research
146 page report published Sep 24, 2009

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IntroductionWe think that a massive shift in consumer behavior is under way we are witnessing the return to frugality and the fast fashion and value players are ideally positioned to exploit this with their proposition of cheap fashionability. Moreover as unemployment levels are set to rise to levels unimaginable a few years ago the hegemony of low price will become endemic.Scope*Proprietary data on market value, specialists sales and growth 2003 - 2008 data for each of the 27 EU countries.*Key data on total expenditure, selling space, store numbers, sales densities and per capita expenditure for each of the 27 EU countries.*Comprehensive profiles of C&A, H&M, Kiabi, New Look, Primark and TK Maxx with a detailed analysis of core strengths and weaknesses and future outlook*Detailed chapters on five core European clothing markets, with analysis of leading value players, recent developments and future outlook.HighlightsFor European value clothing retailers it is recession boom time, as consumers find themselves slogging through the starkest economic landscape. We expect that the recession will end sometime in 2010 for the totality of the EU 27. That would make the current crisis the longest and probably deepest downturn since the Great Depression.Value is a growing segment in a declining sector, as overall clothing volumes are down. Depressed consumer spending levels and dearth of credit availability in combination with anxious and unsettled clothing specialists will conspire to produce one of the worst years for the pan European clothing sector on recordAs Tesco's halo has slipped somewhat in the recession, Ireland's Primark is set to take up the torch of sharpest and most feared retailer from the British Isles. A superb business model, strong growth, outstanding benchmarks and sales densities have struck fear into the hearts of its European rivals from C&A to Kiabi.Reasons to Purchase*Identify the key trends and issues in clothing retail in Europe and design strategies to exploit opportunities and minimise risk.*Assess market potential and threats by accessing sector size data and seeing how consumers and retailers have reacted to recent economic turbulence.*Comprehensive profiles provide essential information on business models and performance measures both crucial for benchmarking businesses.

Source: Verdict
Document ID: DMVT0546
Industry: Retailing Non-Food
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TitleStarting PageNumber of Pages
Introduction<Br><Br><paragraph>We think that a massive shift in consumer behavior is under way we are witnessing the return to frugality and the fast fashion and value players are ideally positioned to exploit this with their proposition of cheap fashionab01
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY212
It is recession boom time for European value clothing retailers, 21
Consumers trading down as a reaction to the recession means that every retail proposition with a strong and deep value focus should do well. 21
Value is a growing segment in a declining sector, as overall clothing volumes are down. 21
However in recessionary times the value players will have to contend with strong discounting from middle market players 21
As Tesco s halo has slipped somewhat in the recession, Ireland s Primark is set to take up the torch of sharpest and most feared retailer from the British Isles. 21
The fashionability and the focus on a young demographic are perhaps Primark s unique selling points and something much of the competition obviously lacks with perhaps the exception of H&M. 31
The harsh lesson UK fashion multiples had to learn in recent years stands to be repeated across the continent. 31
Indeed C&A s capitulation of its Avanti fascia makes us unsure about the retailer s future prospects altogether, 31
As such the race between ABF s Primark and C&A s Avanti to conquer the European value clothing market has come to a premature conclusion. 31
Kik and Takko look the most interesting competitors to Primark for the young value fashion crown31
H&M need to focus on l-f-l growth.31
TKMaxx is a class apart, as it operates a different business model without a dedicated private label line.41
That said, Primark and the value fashion retailers in general need to focus their efforts on ethical issues as clothing retailing in consumers perception has become holistic. 41
For the value players strategic decisions need to be made about store locations, and management will have to choose between offensive and defensive tactics in terms of expansion abroad also. 41
Another key decision will have to be taken about foreign expansion. 41
Now is the time to grow and the value clothing specialists should not sit idly by while the hypermarkets and grocery discounters battle it out amongst themselves at the value end of the market.410
CLOTHING MARKET STRUCTURE1416
First major fall in a decade in EU27 clothing expenditure143
Per capita figures demonstrate catch up potential of newer member states171
Specialists sales follow downward trend183
Specialists space growth stagnates212
Pressure on sales densities builds241
Store numbers continue long term decline253
Average sales per specialist clothing store in EU about to reach 500,000 281
... while specialist clothing store average sizes spanned 156sq m range in 2008291
STRATEGIC ISSUES3023
Economic picture GDP crawls back up302
Euro interest rate remains at historic lows322
No sign of inflation yet342
Unemployment time bomb 362
Massive opportunity for EU value players382
Internationalisation and emergence of pan-European value clothing retailers405
Diverse strategies stretch value model451
Migration online and multichannel development452
Non-specialists from Aldi to Tesco threaten specialist value players 472
Discounting more competition on low cost front 491
Ethical concerns and the environmental implications of throwaway fashion503
FRANCE538
Potential for value chains to grow and consolidate534
Recent key events571
Varying growth strategies for French value chains571
La Halle launches new layout571
JL s Styleco chain outperforms581
Kiabi buys 100 V ti stores581
Maurice aims to turn Pimkie around591
Outlook value chains will expand long term regardless of midmarket discounts 601
GERMANY616
Value clothing sales grow robustly614
Recent key events651
C&A pulls Avanti out of race651
Kik resilient661
Primark debuts661
Outlook competition in value clothing will increase661
Kik and Takko expand in town centers and shopping malls661
ITALY675
Discretionary cutbacks672
Recent key events691
Decathlon ups sales 26.0% and could open Koodza691
Gruppo Coin begins rebranding Oviesse as OVSindustry701
Outlook expect more M&A activity post-recession711
SPAIN 726
Severe economic downturn takes toll723
Recent key events751
Cherokee ties up with Eroski 751
Mango launches value line751
Avanti fails Spanish test751
Decathlon launches Koodza751
Outlook fast fashion value (like Primark) appeals to Spaniards in financial tough times 762
UK784
Value clothing well established and highly competitive782
Recent key events801
Italian fashion group Gruppo Coin targets the UK for expansion 801
Sales of Chanel line at Peacocks up 30.0% 801
New Look acquires stores from Borders 801
Primark settles out of court over Superdry s leather jacket as worn by David Beckham 801
Tesco launches fashion online 801
Matalan s sales boosted by new sub brands801
Outlook low cost operators with scale will prevail811
COMPANY COMPARISONS825
Sales821
Value positioning831
Primark top831
Stores841
New Look catches up841
Sales densities slip851
But Primark stays top852
C&A8711
Shuts down Avanti value fast fashion format in Germany and Poland 871
Avanti 881
Sourcing891
Recent key events901
Avanti throws in the towel901
Spain remains important market901
Exits Argentina, but stays in Brazil and Mexico 901
Sells bank911
Wider role for organic cotton911
Yessica Pure moves C&A upmarket911
Avanti executive moved to Primark911
C&A Online Europe 911
Financials922
Stores 943
Outlook C&A format needs continual development for mature markets 971
H&M9812
Global fashion retailer 982
Recent key events1001
Rolf Eriksen hands over after 23 years to new CEO Karl-Johan Persson 1001
H&M takes on IKEA with homewares launch1001
Opens in Middle East and Japan1001
Financials1013
Current trading1041
Stores1053
Outlook closes on Inditex by targeting new customer groups 1081
H&M s like-for-like figures need to be addressed 1081
as it recovers ground on Inditex 1081
Uses home shopping expertise online1081
Leads field on brand identity1081
Maintains high margin1081
In 2008/09 H&M plans to open a net 225 new stores1091
H&M positive about prospects in Russia1091
KIABI1107
France s leading value clothing retailer focuses on Europe 1101
Recent key events1111
Acquires 100 V ti stores 1111
Les Mousquetaires bites bullet 18 months on1111
Sale boosts revenue 46.0%1111
Franchise stores open in Russia1111
Financials1122
Stores 1142
Outlook a serious threat to C&A and Primark?1161
Group turnover set to surpass 1.0bn in 20091161
Franchising is a key growth opportunity for the group1161
If approved by competition authorities, V ti acquisition should benefit Kiabi s French business immensely1161
Focus on Europe1161
NEW LOOK11710
Develops beyond EU through franchises 1171
Recent key events1181
Acquires Borders London flagship1181
Appoints COO with global expertise1181
Restructures top management1181
Moves to London1181
Happy Christmas1181
Opens in Westfield London1181
Hits 25 stores in the Middle East1191
Launches myLook1191
Financials1194
Stores 1232
Outlook under pressure from weak sterling1251
Proposition trades strongly1251
Young customer base strongest asset in a recession1251
Time when New Look should push fashion and squeeze discounters in new markets1251
Franchising the path to international expansion outside EU1251
Global value fashion retailer status embryonic but growing1251
Develops multichannel offer1251
Weak sterling will pressurise retail prices1261
Synergy and scale benefits 1261
PRIMARK 12710
Density towers over rivals1271
Recent key events1281
Founder Arthur Ryan steps down in favour of Paul Marchant 1281
Guy Young resigns1281
SAVE deal to support garment workers1281
TNS Knitwear1281
Thrapston center raises distribution capacity by 50.0%1281
Financials1291
Group 24 weeks ended February 28, 20091302
UK year to September 20081321
UK 40 weeks to June 20, 20091321
Stores 1322
Outlook needs to manage ethical stance more proactively1361
Primark loses novelty factor in UK and becomes a mature player1361
Expansion slows in UK1361
European expansion offers big growth opportunities1361
Primark has better fashion credentials than most rivals1361
Needs higher profile PR to take on C&A1361
TK MAXX1378
Flight to value plays into TK Maxx hands 1372
Recent key events1391
Buying trio to push European expansion1391
Closes Buckinghamshire DC1391
TK s handbags website is a first for TJX group1391
Not good enough for Regent Street1391
Opens on Kensington High Street1391
Financials1402
Stores 1421
Outlook now is the time to break into Europe1431
Good quality eclectic range attracts shoppers1431
Price overriding consumption driver across Continent1431
Localisation will help in Germany1431
Poland is a good market for the retailer to expand into next1441
New markets may not be plain sailing1441
TK Maxx should be wary of some domestic competitors that it will face in new markets1441
Evolution of factory outlets in Europe could be an indicator for future target markets1441
Designer handbags provide a route to market for a fully transactional high end online offer1441
APPENDIX1452
Definitions1451
Value clothing market definition 20091451
Glossary1451
Abbreviations1451
Financial statistics VAT1451
Source Verdict Research 1461
Verdict Research consulting1461
Disclaimer1461

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