Zambia Retail Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Zambia Retail Report

Zambia Retail Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Zambia Retail Report
Published Oct 08, 2016
51 pages — Published Oct 08, 2016
Price US$ 1,295.00  |  Buy this Report Now

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Abstract:

The Zambian retail industry is still at its infancy and we do not expect a significant take-off throughout our forecast period to ----. Although our Sub-Saharan Africa Country Risk team forecasts that real GDP will grow at an average pace of -.- annually over ---------, with private consumption the main growth driver, elevated inflation and a depreciating currency will dent households purchasing power. ...The Zambian retail industry is still at its infancy and we do not expect a significant take-off throughout our forecast period to ----. Although our Sub-Saharan Africa Country Risk team forecasts that real GDP will grow at an average pace of -.- annually over ---------, with private consumption the main growth driver, elevated inflation and a depreciating currency will dent households purchasing power. As a result, we forecast household spending to decline from --.- of GDP in ---- to --.- of GDP in ----. ...Nonetheless, we caution that the size of this market will remain small.

...Household spending will decline from USD-,--- per household in ---- to USD-,--- in ----, amid a depreciating currency and high inflation eroding consumers purchasing power. The top earners and the wealthy expatriate population will continue to offer the best opportunities for retailers, due to elevated purchasing power and more dynamic consumption patterns. ...Household spending will decline from USD-,--- per household in ---- to USD-,--- in ----, amid a depreciating currency and high inflation eroding consumers purchasing power. The top earners and the wealthy expatriate population will continue to offer the best opportunities for retailers, due to elevated purchasing power and more dynamic consumption patterns. Widespread poverty and employment in the informal sector will continue to restrict the size of the Zambian middle class. ...Widespread poverty and employment in the informal sector will continue to restrict the size of the Zambian middle class. Reflecting this weak outlook, we do not expect a significant uptick in foreign investment in the retail sector, with foreign retailers favouring faster-growth markets in Sub-Saharan Africa.

...BMI View: We hold a poor outlook for the Zambian retail sector in ----, as soaring inflation affects households purchasing powers and a rapidly depreciating currency weighs on headline sales and increases the costs of imported consumer goods. Over the medium-to-long term, the majority of the population will remain excluded from modern forms of consumption given widespread poverty and high unemployment, while the top earners will benefit the most from the acceleration of economic growth. ...

  
Source:
Document ID
2399-2107
Country
Industry
Format:
PDF Adobe Acrobat
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Zambia Retail Report" Oct 08, 2016. Alacra Store. Dec 08, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Zambia-Retail-Report-2026-2020>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2016). Zambia Retail Report Oct 08, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 08, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Zambia-Retail-Report-2026-2020>
  
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