Zambia Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Zambia Country Risk Report

Zambia Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Zambia Country Risk Report
Published May 26, 2015
47 pages — Published May 26, 2015
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Index and reports of corruption are seemingly never far from headlines. While it is positive that instances of corruption are sufficiently recognised to make the headlines (which cannot be said for many countries in the region), the fact is that it remains rife across all levels of society. ...Vice- president Guy Scott of the PF, who became acting president in November, could not contest the national election because his parents were not born in Zambia. Despite party infighting, the PF prevailed with its candidate Edgar Lungu, considered Sata s protege, at the expense of the opposition United Party for National Development and the Movement for Multiparty Democracy candidate Rupiah Banda, who would arguably have been policy-positive from the perspective of foreign investors. A succession battle within the ruling Patriotic Front (PF) emerged in the months leading up to Sata s death with various factions vying for control. political outlook Policy continuity and characteristics of society

...Note: Scores are on a scale of ----- where --- = lowest risk. Source: BMI However, uncertainty will be a factor until the next general election in ----. ...However, as of his death, three years after his elec- tion, the country was still waiting for a vote on a draft document, and Lungu did not name constitutional reform as a priority in his campaign. A key source of contention has been electoral law, with many wanting to change to a -- +- (in which candidates which fail to garner more than -- of the vote face a run-off election), as opposed to the winner takes all currently in place. However, the momentum behind this was largely based on a desire to make it easier for an opposition party to come to power. ...Copper dominates, but the country boasts deposits of iron ore, coal, uranium and manganese. Economic policy has significantly improved over the last several years, with key macroeconomic indicators such as inflation, real GDP growth and the current account balance strengthening sub- stantially since ----.

...zambia Q- ---- core Views Despite low copper prices, we anticipate real GDP growth of -.- in Zambia in ----, from an estimated -.- in ----. ...The current account has been weighed down by a fall in copper production and a sharp decrease in global prices for the industrial metal. Key risks to outlook The most salient risks to Zambia s economy stem from global economic developments which directly impact the price of copper, Zambia s chief export, as well as the appetite for frontier market investment. If struggles in Europe, China, and other major markets are more or less pronounced than we currently anticipate, then our forecasts would be rendered either too optimistic or too negative. ...

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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Zambia Country Risk Report" May 26, 2015. Alacra Store. Oct 24, 2016. <>
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2015). Zambia Country Risk Report May 26, 2015. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Oct 24, 2016 from <>
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