Uzbekistan Power Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Uzbekistan Power Report

Uzbekistan Power Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Uzbekistan Power Report
Published Sep 10, 2016
63 pages — Published Sep 10, 2016
Price US$ 1,295.00  |  Buy this Report Now

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Abstract:

Uzbekistan is currently attempting to undertake a privatisation of its power sector - whereby -- construction firms operating under the umbrella of Uzbekenergo are to sell off -- or more of their shares to foreign investors. We do not investor interest to be robust for power sector assets, as a result of a challenging operating environment, the cyclical nature of the privatisation push and the backdrop of a series of false privatisation starts. ...We do not investor interest to be robust for power sector assets, as a result of a challenging operating environment, the cyclical nature of the privatisation push and the backdrop of a series of false privatisation starts. The development of Kyrgyzstani and Tajikistani hydropower will remain a contentious issue in Central Asia, as Uzbekistan strongly opposes developments due to worries that the downstream of the Amu Darya and Syr Darya rivers will suffer negative consequences. Uzbekistan has repeatedly urged its neighbours to focus on developing small-scale projects run by the river hydropower facilities as an alternative. ...We highlight an underdeveloped transmission and distribution infrastructure as a pertinent obstacle to these plants being developed. Uzbekenergo signed a memorandum of understanding with Mitsubishi Hitachi Power Systems to establish a joint venture in February ---- that would be centred on rehabilitating the existing gas-fired power plant fleet in the country.

...Uzbekistan will slowly recover in the coming quarters from the twin shocks stemming from weak external demand and lower commodity prices. The Uzbek economy is heavily dependent on commodity exports, in particular gas, gold, cotton, copper and agricultural products, and the collapse in commodity prices since ---- has significantly reduced export and public sector revenues in recent quarters. ...Uzbekistan will slowly recover in the coming quarters from the twin shocks stemming from weak external demand and lower commodity prices. The Uzbek economy is heavily dependent on commodity exports, in particular gas, gold, cotton, copper and agricultural products, and the collapse in commodity prices since ---- has significantly reduced export and public sector revenues in recent quarters. This has had a significant impact on growth, given the large state foot print in the economy. ...We believe this will weigh on Uzbekistan s ability to attract investors to its power sector privatisation plan. In tandem, a relatively muted outlook for state revenues and private sector activity will limit the investment in power infrastructure and ensure that Uzbekistan s power sector remains marred by underinvestment.

...Source: BMI There are several factors that underpin our view that growth will continue to slow in ----, as reflected in our forecast for real GDP growth, which will reach annual averages of -.- between ---- and ----, down from the equivalent average of -.- between ---- and ----. ...Source: BMI There are several factors that underpin our view that growth will continue to slow in ----, as reflected in our forecast for real GDP growth, which will reach annual averages of -.- between ---- and ----, down from the equivalent average of -.- between ---- and ----. As such, the positive impact on growth stemming from the rebound in commodity prices will be offset to a degree by the poor outlook for external demand, in particular from Russia and China, which together account for nearly half of Uzbek exports. ...

  
Source:
Document ID
2397-4826
Country
Industry
Format:
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Uzbekistan Power Report" Sep 10, 2016. Alacra Store. Dec 10, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Uzbekistan-Power-Report-2026-1889>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2016). Uzbekistan Power Report Sep 10, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 10, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Uzbekistan-Power-Report-2026-1889>
  
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