Sub-Saharan Africa Power Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Sub-Saharan Africa Power Report

Sub-Saharan Africa Power Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Sub-Saharan Africa Power Report
Published May 28, 2016
33 pages — Published May 28, 2016
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Abstract:

Coal-fired power will maintain the largest share in the power mix, mostly due to a well-established South African coal power sector (which we expect will comprise -- of total SSA coal-fired power generation by ----). That said we expect the share of coal in the SSA power mix to fall marginally over the next decade, as countries like Mozambique, Ghana, Nigeria and Cote d Ivoire are all looking to boost gas-fired power generation by utilising domestic gas reserves. Limited power sector reform will continue to blight power generation in the SSA. A history of underinvestment in power generating facilities, the adverse impact of drought on hydropower generation and a continued gap between electricity tariffs and the costs of capacity deployment will mean that the region will remain defined by power generation shortfalls. Popular opposition to tariff hikes in Nigeria, South Africa, Zimbabwe, Ghana and Namibia emphasise that supporting indebted state-owned utilities via higher electricity prices will remain politically unpalatable in the region. ...An improved business environment under President Alassane Ouattara s leadership has been a key to improving the attractiveness of the Ivorian power sector for private investors. The ongoing gas-fired power expansion in the country and an expanding project pipeline will further cement Cote d Ivoire s power market outperformer status in the SSA over the coming years.

...BMI View: MENA power markets will continue to present more attractive opportunities for power sector investors than those in SSA. Relative political stability in Egypt and the relaxing of sanctions on Iran will make the two countries relatively attractive to investors in a MENA power market, while Ethiopia, Kenya and Cote d Ivoire are poised to outperform an SSA power market that is hampered by structural problems. ...BMI View: MENA power markets will continue to present more attractive opportunities for power sector investors than those in SSA. Relative political stability in Egypt and the relaxing of sanctions on Iran will make the two countries relatively attractive to investors in a MENA power market, while Ethiopia, Kenya and Cote d Ivoire are poised to outperform an SSA power market that is hampered by structural problems. Within the broader Middle East and Africa (MEA) region, there are clear-cut differences between the power markets in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) sub-region and those in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). ...As illustrated in the chart below, the power markets in MENA are relatively developed and supported by strong project pipelines. In stark contrast, the power markets in the SSA are characterised by limited power generating infrastructure and widespread power shortages, stemming from underinvestment in the region s power markets.

...SSA capacity, net, MW (LHS) MENA capacity, net, MW (LHS) SSA capacity, net, y-o-y (RHS) MENA capacity, net, y-o-y (RHS) ---- ----f ----f ----f ----f ----f ----f ----f ----f ----f ----f - ---,--- ---,--- ---,--- ---,--- - - -- -- e/f = estimate/forecast. Source: EIA, BMI Thermal power is the dominant source of electricity in both MENA and SSA (see chart below). ...

  
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Document ID
2398-0877
Industry
Format:
PDF Adobe Acrobat
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Sub-Saharan Africa Power Report" May 28, 2016. Alacra Store. Dec 04, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Sub-Saharan-Africa-Power-Report-2026-1968>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2016). Sub-Saharan Africa Power Report May 28, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 04, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Sub-Saharan-Africa-Power-Report-2026-1968>
  
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